Top DFS Picks and Betting Strategies for UFC Vegas 110
The top UFC betting and DFS plays for this weekend's UFC Vegas 110 card are up, as well as breakdowns of betting and lineup strategy, plus predictions for the entire event.
2025 Overall Picks: 300-132-1 ~ Dog Picks 47-33-1
Drake's Bet of the Week: Chang Ho Lee +110
Bet of the Week Record: 22-13-1 +1928
DFS Lock of the Week: Themba Gorimbo - 27-6
Fanduel Captain: Gorimbo/Dulgarian
Steve Garcia (18-5-0) v. David Onama (14-2-0)
- Height: 6'0" – Reach: 75" – Stance: Southpaw
- Record: 18-5 (14 KO/TKO, 4 submissions)
- Aggressive striker with crisp boxing combinations and sneaky power in close range
- Durable and relentless; thrives in brawls and wears opponents down with pressure and pace
- Height: 5'11" – Reach: 74" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 14-2 (7 KO/TKO, 4 submissions, 3 decisions)
- Dynamic athlete with big power and fast hands, but tends to fade when drawn into wars
- Relies heavily on timing and explosive bursts rather than consistent volume
DFS Perspective: Garcia is the preferred DFS side thanks to his pressure, volume and durability. Onama has early knockout potential, but Garcia's forward style and pace should force exchanges that favor him over time. Expect Garcia to overwhelm with output, potentially finding a late finish or dominant decision, offering both a strong floor and ceiling for DFS builds.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Garcia
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Waldo Cortes-Acosta (14-2-0) v. Ante Delija (26-6-0)
- Height: 6'4" – Reach: 78" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 14-2 (6 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 7 decisions)
- Disciplined boxer with excellent jab control and strong defensive awareness
- Keeps a steady pace, mixes body work well, and rarely makes major mistakes defensively
- Height: 6'3" – Reach: 78" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 26-6 (12 KO/TKO, 7 submissions, 7 decisions)
- Heavy-handed pressure fighter who excels at closing distance and brawling in the pocket
- Limited footwork and suspect striking defense leave him open to cleaner technicians
DFS Perspective: Cortes-Acosta is the preferred DFS side. His composure and boxing fundamentals should control the tempo and neutralize Delija's aggression. Delija's path is almost entirely through an early knockout, but his lack of depth and cardio issues make him a risky play. Cortes-Acosta's jab, volume and counter work give him a strong floor with late-fight upside if he avoids the big shot.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Cortes-Acosta
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Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1) v. Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0)
- Height: 5'9" – Reach: 74" – Stance: Switch
- Record: 12-3-1 (5 KO/TKO, 4 submissions, 3 decisions)
- Explosive and dangerous in the opening minutes, mixing big hooks with powerful takedowns
- Struggles with pacing; cardio and defensive awareness fade significantly after Round 1
- Height: 6'1" – Reach: 77" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 14-4 (2 KO/TKO, 6 submissions, 6 decisions)
- Long, composed striker who manages range effectively and blends in slick counter-wrestling
- Excellent cardio and fight IQ allow him to weather early storms and take over late
DFS Perspective: Gorimbo is the preferred DFS play. His length, cardio and ability to mix striking with opportunistic grappling give him multiple scoring avenues. Wells' early power makes him a live underdog for first-round GPP chaos, but Gorimbo's durability and composure should help him frustrate Wells, control the pace and rack up points through volume and control time. He's a strong mid-tier DFS option with a balanced floor and ceiling.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Gorimbo
Isaac Dulgarian (7-1-0) v. Yadier del Valle (9-0-0)
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 71" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 7-1 (4 KO/TKO, 3 submissions)
- Strong wrestler with explosive ground control and solid finishing instincts
- Still raw defensively on the feet, but compensates with relentless pace and pressure
- Height: 5'9" – Reach: 69" – Stance: Southpaw
- Record: 9-0 (2 KO/TKO, 3 submissions, 4 decisions)
- Promising prospect with clean boxing, sharp counters, and fluid footwork
- Comfortable scrambling and has sneaky submission setups in transitions
DFS Perspective: This fight is an excellent DFS target on both sides. Dulgarian's wrestling and ground control give him a steady floor, while Del Valle's striking and counter-submission ability create real upset potential. Expect wild scrambles and high-paced exchanges that score well regardless of outcome. Slight lean toward Dulgarian for his wrestling volume and finishing pressure, but Del Valle is a live GPP pivot capable of snatching a statement win.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Dulgarian
Charles Radtke (10-5-0) v. Daniel Frunza (9-3-0)
- Height: 5'9" – Reach: 72" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 9-3 (5 KO/TKO, 2 submissions, 6 decisions)
- Tough, durable grinder who applies constant pressure and strong clinch control
- Well-conditioned and disciplined; mixes wrestling and striking effectively over three rounds
- Height: 6'1" – Reach: 73" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 8-2 (8 KO/TKO, 1 decision)
- Sharp, powerful striker with dangerous kicks and quick finishing instincts
- Struggles under sustained pressure and can be neutralized by strong grapplers
DFS Perspective: This is a solid mid-range DFS fight to target. Radtke's volume, durability and wrestling base give him the safer floor, while Frunza's early power offers the boom-or-bust GPP ceiling. If Radtke can survive the first-round blitz and grind Frunza down, he's well-positioned for a strong scoring win through control and pace. My slight lean is Radtke, but both sides are playable depending on lineup construction.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Radtke
Allan Nascimento (21-6-0) v. Cody Durden (17-8-1)
- Height: 5'8" – Reach: 69" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 21-6 (1 KO/TKO, 15 submissions, 5 decisions)
- High-level Brazilian jiu-jitsu practitioner with slick transitions and excellent back control
- Calm under pressure; uses length and creativity to reverse and dominate on the mat
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 67" – Stance: Southpaw
- Record: 17-8-1 (6 KO/TKO, 6 submissions, 5 decisions)
- Aggressive wrestler with a strong double-leg and gritty top control game
- Relies on early momentum; tends to fade when forced into prolonged grappling scrambles
DFS Perspective: Nascimento is the preferred DFS side. His submission arsenal and ability to capitalize on scrambles make him dangerous whenever the fight hits the mat. Durden's wrestling gives him paths to takedowns and early control time, but he risks getting caught if he overextends. Nascimento's finishing upside and potential sweep-heavy reversals make him a strong GPP target with high ceiling potential.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Nascimento
Kevin Christian (9-2-0) v. Billy Elekana (8-2-0)
- Height: 6'7" – Reach: 80" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 9-1 (3 KO/TKO, 5 submissions)
- Powerful boxer with crisp hands and a steady forward-pressure style
- Dangerous early, but his lack of diversity and limited ground game can cost him in longer fights
- Height: 6'3" – Reach: 77" – Stance: Southpaw
- Record: 8-1 (3 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 4 decisions)
- Well-rounded and composed prospect with a complete striking arsenal and strong defensive awareness
- Utilizes movement, range control, and timing to pick opponents apart and stay safe in exchanges
DFS Perspective: Elekana is the preferred DFS side. His broader skill set, footwork and composure give him multiple paths to victory, whether through striking volume, control or a late finish. Christian's power keeps him GPP-relevant, but Elekana's ability to dictate distance and pace makes him the better overall play for both floor and ceiling. Expect him to stay composed, frustrate Christian and outclass him technically over three rounds.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Elekana
Timmy Cuamba (9-3-0) v. Chang Ho Lee (11-1-0)
- Height: 5'9" – Reach: 71" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 9-2 (5 KO/TKO, 4 decisions)
- Fast, athletic striker with solid boxing fundamentals and crisp counters
- Excellent first-round performer but can slow down as opponents adjust and pressure builds
- Height: 5'8" – Reach: 69" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 11-1 (5 KO/TKO, 2 submissions, 4 decisions)
- Well-rounded fighter with a steady mix of striking, wrestling, and top control
- Durable and composed under fire; often builds momentum as the fight progresses
DFS Perspective: Lee is the preferred DFS play and a strong underdog target. His balanced attack, grappling edge and late-fight toughness give him more paths to score, especially if he can weather Cuamba's early burst. Cuamba offers knockout upside for GPPs, but Lee's grinding style and ability to steal rounds through control and pressure make him a sharp DFS dog with sneaky finishing potential.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Lee
Donte Johnson (6-0-0) v. Sedriques Dumas (10-3-0)
- Height: 5'8" – Reach: 74" – Stance: Southpaw
- Record: 6-0 (6 KO/TKO)
- Short-for-division pressure puncher who explodes into range and chains power shots off level feints
- Debut but battle-tested aggression from DWCS; must close distance responsibly to avoid getting stuck at the end of kicks and jabs
- Height: 6'2" – Reach: 79" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 10-3 (4 KO/TKO, 2 submissions, 4 decisions)
- Long, switch-up kicker with opportunistic front chokes; dangerous early but inconsistent pace and decision-making under fire
- Best work at range with straight punches and calf kicks; gets hittable backing straight up
DFS Perspective: Johnson is the preferred DFS side. The height/reach gap means he must blitz the pocket, but his burst and finishing rate create a higher ceiling, and Dumas' volatility keeps the floor reasonable. Dumas is live for early GPP chaos if he maintains range, yet Johnson's pressure and punch volume make him the more trustworthy play.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Johnson
Ketlen Vieira (15-4-0) v. Norma Dumont (12-2-0)
- Height: 5'8" – Reach: 68" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 15-3 (2 KO/TKO, 4 submissions, 9 decisions)
- Strong, physical grappler with solid clinch control and smothering top pressure
- Prefers methodical fights; excellent defensive awareness, but sometimes low activity
- Height: 5'7" – Reach: 67" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 12-2 (2 submissions, 10 decisions)
- Clean, composed striker who uses angles and counter-punching effectively
- Good takedown defense and fight IQ, able to maintain distance and pick opponents apart
DFS Perspective: This is a close, low-volume matchup that could be sneaky for leverage. Dumont's sharper striking and composure give her a slight edge, especially if she keeps the fight standing. Vieira's wrestling and control time create a narrow but clear path to DFS points if she can land takedowns early. Slight lean Dumont due to her superior striking and defensive balance, though this is a coin-flip fight best reserved for GPP diversification.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Dumont
Monterrat Conejo Ruiz (10-4-0) v. Alice Ardelean (10-7-0)
- Height: 5'0" – Reach: 61" – Stance: Southpaw
- Record: 10-4 (2 KO/TKO, 3 submissions, 5 decisions)
- Compact wrestler who thrives in close range, using head-and-arm throws and top control
- Physically strong but one-dimensional; struggles badly when forced to strike at distance
- Height: 5'3" – Reach: 62" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 10-7 (4 KO/TKO, 4 submissions, 2 decisions)
- Aggressive striker with crisp combinations, leg kicks, and improved takedown defense
- Carries solid power for the division and fights well behind forward pressure
DFS Perspective: Ardelean is the preferred DFS side. Her striking volume, range advantage and aggression should allow her to dictate the fight as long as she avoids Ruiz's early takedown attempts. Ruiz's wrestling can provide a path to a grindy upset, but her limited striking and lack of round-to-round consistency make her tough to trust. Expect Ardelean to land the cleaner shots and accumulate damage over time for a strong DFS return.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Ardelean
Phil Rowe (11-5-0) v. Seok Hyeon Ko (12-2-0)
- Height: 6'3" – Reach: 80" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 11-4 (7 KO/TKO, 4 submissions)
- Long and technical striker with solid power and dangerous submissions from his back
- Struggles when pressured or forced to defend repeated takedowns, especially against strong top control
- Height: 5'10" – Reach: 71" – Stance: Southpaw
- Record: 12-2 (6 KO/TKO, 6 decisions)
- Patient, well-rounded fighter with strong wrestling fundamentals and heavy top pressure
- Smart game-planner who mixes striking with level changes to wear opponents down
DFS Perspective: Ko is the preferred DFS play. His ability to close distance, secure takedowns and maintain control should frustrate Rowe and limit his striking output. Rowe always carries finishing upside, but Ko's durability and positional dominance make him the more reliable choice for both floor and ceiling. Expect Ko to dictate pace with clinch work and ground control, scoring efficiently through volume and control time en route to a clear decision win.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Ko
Talita Alencar (6-1-1) v. Ariane Carnelossi (15-3-0)
- Height: 5'1" – Reach: 58" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 6-1 (3 submissions, 3 decision)
- World-class Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt with elite grappling transitions and positional control
- Aggressive in pursuit of takedowns but still developing her striking and cage-cutting
- Height: 5'2" – Reach: 61" – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 15-3 (9 KO/TKO, 2 submissions, 3 decisions)
- Compact powerhouse who thrives on forward pressure and explosive striking combinations
- Strong physically, but can struggle when stuck underneath slick grapplers
DFS Perspective: Alencar is the preferred DFS play. Her elite-level grappling and submission game present multiple scoring paths, especially if she can ground Carnelossi early. Carnelossi's power makes her a live GPP flier, but Alencar's control and finishing potential provide the more stable floor and higher upside. Expect Alencar to survive the early blitz, drag Carnelossi into grappling exchanges and dominate through top pressure or a submission finish.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Alencar
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FANDUEL MMA SCORING
Moves Scoring
Significant Strikes = 0.6 pts
Takedown = 6 pts
Takedown Defense = 3 pts
Knockdown = 12 pts
Submission Attempt = 5 pts
Fight Conclusion Bonuses
1st Round Win = 100 pts
2nd Round Win = 75 pts
3rd Round Win = 50 pts
4th Round Win = 35 pts
5th Round Win = 25 pts
Decision Win = 20 pts
Scoring Notes
- Significant Strikes are distance strikes or clinch/ground strikes that are considered "power strikes" by official scorers.
- A knockdown is awarded to a fighter who knocks his/her opponent down due to debilitation for what the official scorers consider a substantial time.
DRAFTKINGS MMA SCORING
Moves Scoring
Strikes: +0.2 pts
Significant Strikes (SS): +0.2 pts
Control Time: +0.03 pts/Second
Takedown (TD): +5 pts
Reversal/Sweep (REV): +5 pts
Knockdown (KD): +10 pts
Fight Conclusion Bonuses
1st Round Win (1rW+): +90 pts
2nd Round Win (2rW+): +70 pts
3rd Round Win (3rW+): +45 pts
4th Round Win (4rW+): +40 pts
5th Round Win (5rW+): +40 pts
Decision Win (WBD+): +30 pts
Quick Win Bonus: +25 pts
(fight is finished in 60 seconds or less)
Scoring Notes
- Significant Strikes are any distance strikes or clinch/ground strikes that are considered "power strikes" by official scorers.
- A Significant Strike will count as both a strike and a significant strike and be worth 0.4 points in total.
- Control Time is the time spent in the dominant position on the ground or in the clinch. +0.03 points are awarded per second.
- A Knockdown is awarded to a fighter who knocks his/her opponent down due to debilitation for what the official scorers consider an appreciable time.
- A Quick Win Bonus is awarded to the winning fighter if they win in the first round in 60 seconds or less.
