Collette Calls: You Should Find My Lack of Belief in Bieber Disturbing

Collette Calls: You Should Find My Lack of Belief in Bieber Disturbing

This article is part of our Collette Calls series.

I dove into Corbin Burnes last week to show how his rise in 2020 was more than just simple BABIP and HR/FB regression and where his improvement came from. I am enjoying his resurgence in 2020 because I wrote about him in my Bold Prediction series, included him in the Value in the Scrap Heap article for the annual and recommended him to anyone who asked while targeting him in every draft possible. 

This week, we will swing the other way to look into a pitcher I did not like for 2020 who has spent the entire season pitching as if he read my piece and, every time he takes the baseball, has been doing what Rick Vaughn said he would do to Lou Brown in Major League. I'm talking about Shane Bieber, who I said would not be a top-20 pitcher in 2020 but is currently the top pitcher in our Earned Auction Value tool. 

First off, I am truly sorry if my guidance led you to avoid Bieber at his price in drafts.  I had my reasons, which we will get into, but I can't recall a time where my suggestion to fade a player in my Bold Prediction series went THIS badly where the player ended up contending for the Cy Young or MVP.  This is what I said about Bieber in late January with a very ominous qualifier in the opening paragraph:

Bieber is the eighth pitcher off the board with an ADP of 27

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jason Collette
Jason has been helping fantasy owners since 1999 at RotoJunkie, Fanball, Baseball Prospectus and now here at RotoWire. He covers the Tampa Bay Rays at theprocessreport.net. You can hear Jason weekly on many of the Sirius/XM Fantasy channel offerings throughout the season as well as on the Sleeper and the Bust podcast on iTunes. An eight-time FSWA finalist, Jason won the FSWA's Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year award in 2013 and the Baseball Series of the Year award in 2018 for Collette Calls.
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