Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Kevin Gausman | Chris Archer | Pirates | 96 | 97 | 101 | 103 | 83 | 94 | 7.5 | -125 | 7:05 PM |
| Andrew Cashner | Marco Estrada | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 9.0 | -180 | 7:07 PM |
| Corey Kluber | Rick Porcello | Red Sox | 114 | 112 | 78 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 8.0 | -110 | 7:10 PM |
| Jorge Lopez | Hunter Wood | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | ||||||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Kevin Gausman | Chris Archer | Pirates | 96 | 97 | 101 | 103 | 83 | 94 | 7.5 | -125 | 7:05 PM |
| Andrew Cashner | Marco Estrada | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 9.0 | -180 | 7:07 PM |
| Corey Kluber | Rick Porcello | Red Sox | 114 | 112 | 78 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 8.0 | -110 | 7:10 PM |
| Jorge Lopez | Hunter Wood | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | 7:10 PM | ||
| Derek Holland | Zack Wheeler | Mets | 90 | 93 | 101 | 90 | 92 | 106 | 7.5 | -120 | 7:10 PM |
| Lucas Giolito | Stephen Gonsalves | Twins | 105 | 103 | 95 | 105 | 113 | 93 | 9.5 | -170 | 7:10 PM |
| Homer Bailey | Chase Anderson | Brewers | 105 | 103 | 131 | 96 | 108 | 103 | 9.0 | -210 | 8:10 PM |
| Bartolo Colon | Mike Fiers | Athletics | 96 | 97 | 84 | 97 | 87 | 96 | 10:05 PM | ||
| Gerrit Cole | Felix Hernandez | Mariners | 91 | 96 | 105 | 94 | 97 | 104 | 8.0 | 155 | 10:10 PM |
| Austin Gomber | Alex Wood | Dodgers | 90 | 95 | 113 | 96 | 90 | 103 | 8.0 | -170 | 10:10 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Anderson (R) | v CIN | 270.7 | 21.6 | 8.3 | 13.3 | 1.26 | 3.33 | 1.14 | $6,600 | $6,700 | 102 | 20.4 |
| Chris Archer (R) | v ATL | 311.3 | 27.5 | 7.3 | 20.3 | 1.16 | 4.22 | 1.32 | $7,800 | $7,900 | 97 | 20.4 |
| Homer Bailey (R) | at MIL | 176.3 | 15.5 | 8.7 | 6.7 | 1.48 | 6.38 | 1.66 | $4,300 | $5,700 | 97 | 23.0 |
| Andrew Cashner (R) | at TOR | 294.7 | 14.0 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 0.98 | 3.97 | 1.39 | $5,700 | $6,300 | 103 | 22.7 |
| Gerrit Cole (R) | at SEA | 362.7 | 28.1 | 7.1 | 21.0 | 1.12 | 3.57 | 1.13 | $13,300 | $10,600 | 105 | 19.8 |
| Bartolo Colon (R) | at OAK | 278.3 | 13.5 | 4.8 | 8.7 | 1.75 | 5.85 | 1.43 | $5,000 | $5,500 | 109 | 21.3 |
| Marco Estrada (R) | v BAL | 298.7 | 20.3 | 8.2 | 12.1 | 1.54 | 4.94 | 1.34 | $6,800 | $7,100 | 87 | 25.5 |
| Mike Fiers (R) | v TEX | 283.7 | 20.2 | 7.2 | 13.0 | 1.71 | 4.38 | 1.33 | $8,200 | $7,700 | 100 | 25.2 |
| Kevin Gausman (R) | at PIT | 329.7 | 20.7 | 7.5 | 13.2 | 1.39 | 4.48 | 1.43 | $7,100 | $7,500 | 98 | 19.2 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | at MIN | 177.0 | 16.2 | 10.9 | 5.3 | 1.47 | 5.19 | 1.36 | $4,700 | $6,500 | 96 | 21.6 |
| Austin Gomber (L) | at LAD | 37.3 | 20.3 | 12.0 | 8.2 | 0.72 | 2.89 | 1.29 | $7,200 | $6,900 | 98 | 21.0 |
| Stephen Gonsalves (L) | v CWS | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $5,400 | 94 | 25.4 | ||
| Felix Hernandez (R) | v HOU | 216.3 | 19.0 | 7.8 | 11.1 | 1.58 | 5.12 | 1.37 | $6,000 | $5,900 | 105 | 19.5 |
| Derek Holland (L) | at NYM | 264.3 | 20.1 | 10.5 | 9.6 | 1.60 | 5.04 | 1.51 | $8,100 | $7,300 | 84 | 26.6 |
| Corey Kluber (R) | at BOS | 371.7 | 29.9 | 4.1 | 25.8 | 1.02 | 2.45 | 0.89 | $11,000 | $10,400 | 120 | 17.9 |
| Jorge Lopez (R) | at TB | 26.3 | 15.1 | 13.4 | 1.7 | 0.68 | 4.44 | 1.67 | $5,200 | $5,500 | 101 | 22.6 |
| Rick Porcello (R) | v CLE | 355.0 | 21.8 | 5.5 | 16.2 | 1.45 | 4.39 | 1.29 | $10,100 | $9,300 | 109 | 18.9 |
| Zack Wheeler (R) | v SF | 225.7 | 22.4 | 8.9 | 13.5 | 1.08 | 4.31 | 1.36 | $9,300 | $9,100 | 95 | 22.4 |
| Alex Wood (L) | v STL | 280.7 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 0.87 | 3.08 | 1.10 | $8,000 | $8,700 | 107 | 21.2 |
| Hunter Wood (R) | v KC | 26.7 | 25.8 | 11.7 | 14.2 | 1.01 | 4.05 | 1.65 | $4,300 | $5,500 | 82 | 21.5 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Chase Anderson (R) | v CIN | 21.2 | 9.1 | 12.0 | 1.13 | 0.287 | 19.9 | 7.5 | 12.4 | 1.65 | 0.344 |
| Chris Archer (R) | v ATL | 27.3 | 8.5 | 18.7 | 1.33 | 0.321 | 27.7 | 6.6 | 21.1 | 1.14 | 0.303 |
| Homer Bailey (R) | at MIL | 15.5 | 10.4 | 5.1 | 1.41 | 0.371 | 17.5 | 6.5 | 10.9 | 1.39 | 0.376 |
| Andrew Cashner (R) | at TOR | 16.8 | 11.1 | 5.8 | 1.35 | 0.347 | 14.4 | 8.2 | 6.2 | 0.82 | 0.325 |
| Gerrit Cole (R) | at SEA | 28.9 | 7.7 | 21.1 | 1.13 | 0.316 | 23.2 | 6.6 | 16.6 | 0.84 | 0.285 |
| Bartolo Colon (R) | at OAK | 14.0 | 5.8 | 8.2 | 1.52 | 0.349 | 15.1 | 3.2 | 11.9 | 1.47 | 0.339 |
| Marco Estrada (R) | v BAL | 21.3 | 7.6 | 13.7 | 1.26 | 0.285 | 21.1 | 9.2 | 11.9 | 1.54 | 0.343 |
| Mike Fiers (R) | v TEX | 19.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 1.55 | 0.335 | 20.2 | 5.6 | 14.6 | 1.63 | 0.345 |
| Kevin Gausman (R) | at PIT | 21.8 | 8.7 | 13.1 | 1.27 | 0.323 | 21.3 | 5.7 | 15.5 | 1.49 | 0.345 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | at MIN | 13.4 | 11.6 | 1.8 | 1.63 | 0.357 | 17.9 | 10.5 | 7.4 | 1.64 | 0.332 |
| Austin Gomber (L) | at LAD | 19.4 | 8.1 | 11.3 | 0.60 | 0.328 | 20.8 | 14.6 | 6.3 | 0.81 | 0.292 |
| Stephen Gonsalves (L) | v CWS | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
| Felix Hernandez (R) | v HOU | 18.0 | 9.5 | 8.5 | 1.45 | 0.347 | 19.5 | 8.1 | 11.4 | 1.34 | 0.323 |
| Derek Holland (L) | at NYM | 15.8 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 0.66 | 0.266 | 19.2 | 10.1 | 9.1 | 1.74 | 0.370 |
| Corey Kluber (R) | at BOS | 27.1 | 5.9 | 21.2 | 1.01 | 0.268 | 29.9 | 4.3 | 25.6 | 0.95 | 0.252 |
| Jorge Lopez (R) | at TB | 13.3 | 16.7 | -3.3 | 1.26 | 0.308 | 16.9 | 10.2 | 6.8 | 0.00 | 0.384 |
| Rick Porcello (R) | v CLE | 22.7 | 5.4 | 17.4 | 1.24 | 0.305 | 20.5 | 4.3 | 16.2 | 1.25 | 0.310 |
| Zack Wheeler (R) | v SF | 24.7 | 10.4 | 14.3 | 1.36 | 0.336 | 20.6 | 7.7 | 12.9 | 0.85 | 0.298 |
| Alex Wood (L) | v STL | 23.1 | 5.2 | 17.9 | 0.42 | 0.276 | 23.7 | 6.7 | 16.9 | 0.99 | 0.279 |
| Hunter Wood (R) | v KC | 33.3 | 14.8 | 18.5 | 0.73 | 0.300 | 19.7 | 9.1 | 10.6 | 1.26 | 0.401 |
