Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Is Sale to Blame?

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Is Sale to Blame?

This article is part of our Weekly Pitcher Rankings series.

As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments, I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week Aug. 10-16

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOppComments
1Chris SaleLAA, CHCAre some of these struggles on him? Yes, but 26% K & 5% BB rates suggest fears are overblown; .457 BABIP a likely culprit2Carlos CarrascoNYY, at MINI'm asking to get burned here, aren't I? Back-to-back CGs and a 2.57 ERA in his L5 even w/a 4 IP/6 ER dud included3Johnny CuetoDET, LAA4David PriceNYY5Corey Kluberat MINThe volatility of the CLE pitchers has been remarkably frustrating, yet the talent is so much that it's hard to ever get too worried6Dallas Keuchelat SF7Chris Archerat TEX8Felix Hernandezat BOS9Sonny Grayat TORI gave everyone a TOR penalty of a few ranks; Gray is coming off of his third CG in six starts, but that TOR offense…10Cole Hamelsat MIN11Jose QuintanaCHCHas allowed more than 3 ER just once in his last 13 starts (4 ER v. KC): 2.78 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 21% K, 4% BB; 4.67 ERA in nine starts before that12Scott Kazmirat SF13
As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments, I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week Aug. 10-16

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOppComments
1Chris SaleLAA, CHCAre some of these struggles on him? Yes, but 26% K & 5% BB rates suggest fears are overblown; .457 BABIP a likely culprit
2Carlos CarrascoNYY, at MINI'm asking to get burned here, aren't I? Back-to-back CGs and a 2.57 ERA in his L5 even w/a 4 IP/6 ER dud included
3Johnny CuetoDET, LAA
4David PriceNYY
5Corey Kluberat MINThe volatility of the CLE pitchers has been remarkably frustrating, yet the talent is so much that it's hard to ever get too worried
6Dallas Keuchelat SF
7Chris Archerat TEX
8Felix Hernandezat BOS
9Sonny Grayat TORI gave everyone a TOR penalty of a few ranks; Gray is coming off of his third CG in six starts, but that TOR offense…
10Cole Hamelsat MIN
11Jose QuintanaCHCHas allowed more than 3 ER just once in his last 13 starts (4 ER v. KC): 2.78 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 21% K, 4% BB; 4.67 ERA in nine starts before that
12Scott Kazmirat SF
13Danny SalazarNYYFour straight quality starts, his longest streak of the season: 1.53 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 26% K, 7% BB in 35.3 IP
14Jake OdorizziATL
15Garrett Richardsat KC
16Nate Karnsat TEX
17Erasmo RamirezATL, at TEXWhen a 5 ER outing isn't so bad: Ramirez allowed 5 ER in the first inn. then held CWS to 1 H and 1 BB in the next five inn.
18Hector Santiagoat CWS, at KC
19Jeff SamardzijaCHCA 9 ER shellacking just as we started to gain confidence, I just don't get it with him this year
20Masahiro Tanakaat TORRec'd a bigger penalty than Gray because his Achilles Heel is TOR's strength: HRs; Tanaka has four multi-HR starts and a 1.5 HR/9
21Hisashi IwakumaBAL
22Taijuan WalkerBALMore than survived Coors w/a 7.3 IP/3 ER showing incl. 5 Ks
23Andrew Heaneyat CWS
24Eduardo Rodriguezat MIAHas a 2.84 ERA in three starts since that 1.7 IP/7 ER nightmare at LAA; run includes starts v. DET and at NYY
25Nathan Eovaldiat CLE
26Chris TillmanOAKNow has a 1.09 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in his last six starts totaling 41.3 IP
27Matt Shoemakerat KC
28Justin Verlanderat HOU
29Kyle GibsonTEX, CLEUnfortunately his start got switched from CLE to at TOR… ouch, 4.7 IP/8 ER
30Marco EstradaNYY
31Collin McHughDETOn a bit of a run right now w/a 3.19 ERA in his last 59.3 IP, though the 1.30 WHIP isn't great
32Anibal Sanchezat KC
33Ervin SantanaCLEResults have vastly surpassed the skills to date, I think the latter will catch up, but it's tenuous right now
34Yovani Gallardoat MIN, TB
35R.A. DickeyOAKNow has a 2.59 ERA over his last 87 IP dating back to June 1st. He had a 5.77 ERA through May (64 IP in 10 starts)
36Edinson VolquezDET
37Chris Bassittat BAL
38Kevin Gausmanat SEAHe's been more good than bad, but the bad has included 7 ER and 6 ER starts
39Ubaldo JimenezOAK
40Mike Montgomeryat BOSHas rebounded from that tough start at DET w/3 ER in 12.7 IP w/11 Ks
41Luis Severinoat CLE, at TORLoved the Severino debut, but this the TOR penalty at play
42Trevor Bauerat MIN
43Wei-Yin Chenat SEA
44Mark BuehrleOAK
45Mike FiersDET
46Wade MileySEACan be very good, but almost always cancels it out; in his last 16: 1.82 ERA in 11 of them; 10.43 ERA in six of them
47Martin PerezTB
48Henry OwensSEALooked pretty sharp his debut; the 5 IP/3 ER wasn't eye-popping, but solid stuff w/5 Ks and just 1 BB
49Danny DuffyLAA
50Miguel Gonzalezat SEA, OAK
51Colby LewisTBAnother guy who's really bad when he's off: 9 ER at CLE, 15 ER in 6 starts, 10 ER v. LAA, 9 ER in four starts, 7 ER v. HOU

SIT

RankPitcherOppComments
52Jered Weaverat CWS, at KC
53Matt Boydat KC, at HOU
54Aaron Brooksat TORBack-to-back excellent starts w/OAK (1.26 ERA, 0.70 WHIP, 23% K, 2% BB), but I'm not ready to start him at TOR
55Daniel Norrisat KC
56Drew HutchisonOAK, NYYGrab the Pepto if you're actually going to start him twice in a week
57Kendall Gravemanat TOR, at BAL
58Yordano VenturaDET, LAA
59Roenis EliasBAL, at BOS
60Ivan Novaat TORWe've seen some nice flashes from Nova in his seven starts, but this would be risky even if he weren't coming off of TJ
61Phil HughesCLEEntirely too hittable to avoid the implosion every so often; probably a low-4.00s at best w/these skills
62Jesse Chavezat BAL
63CC Sabathiaat CLE
64Scott FeldmanDET
65Alfredo Simonat HOU
66John DanksLAA
67Carlos RodonLAA
68Mike PelfreyTEX
69Steven Wrightat MIA
70Jeremy GuthrieLAA
71Joe KellySEA
72Cody AndersonNYY
73Nick Martinezat MIN
74Tommy Milone ReplacementTEXMilone is on the DL and Tyler Duffey was sent back down; maybe Jose Berrios time?

NATIONAL LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOppComments
1Zack GreinkeWAS, CINHis 6 ER at PHI wouldn't have hurt so badly if we could've gotten his 3-3 w/a HR that day
2Clayton KershawWAS
3Max Scherzerat SFHas allowed just 11 ER in his last five starts and 5 ER came in one outing
4Jake Arrietaat CWS
5Jacob deGromCOLHis 6.3 IP/2 ER outing at TB actually raised his ERA from 2.09 to 2.13; has fanned 7+ in each of his last four
6Gerrit Coleat STL
7Matt HarveyCOLThe BBs were a phase: 5, 4, 4 in three straight to open July, just 1 total in his last three starts
8Noah SyndergaardCOL
9Madison BumgarnerHOU, WASStill usually goes 6+ IP even on the tough nights which really helps the ERA; those 3 IP/6 ER gms can be killers
10Jose Fernandezat STLA 38-pitch inn. on Friday took some extra gas from the tank and MIA smartly limited him to 5 IP
11Jon LesterMIL
12Francisco Lirianoat STL
13Lance LynnPIT
14Michael WachaPIT
15Stephen Strasburgat SFFanned 42% of the 38 batters he faced in two rehab stints; Sat. won't really sway the ranking unless it's just awful for some reason
16Carlos MartinezPIT, MIABack-to-back 5 IP outings a sign of fatigue? Already 30 IP over last year's total and it's almost all been starting
17Gio Gonzalezat LAD, at SF
18Joe Rossat LAD, at SFKudos to WAS for leaving Ross in over Fister; Ross will run up against a limit soon, but enjoy the great work until then
19John LackeyMIA
20James ShieldsCINHis ERA might be a full run low than his current 3.75 if he had his old HR suppression, but the 1.5 HR/9 has killed him
21Julio TeheranARI
22Shelby MillerARI
23Jordan Zimmermannat LADHas a 3.08 ERA over his last 64.3 IP w/53 Ks and a 7.6 K:BB ratio
24Mat LatosCIN
25Patrick Corbinat ATLLast just 54 pitches (1.3 IP) at WAS, allowing 8 base runners and 3 ER; ATL is a nice landing spot for a rebound
26Chris HestonHOU
27Jaime GarciaMIA
28Taylor Jungmannat CHC, PHIJungmann, There's No Need to Feel Down
29Tyson Rossat COLThe obscene GB rate makes me worry less about him in Coors to the point where I'm comfortable starting him
30Jimmy NelsonPHIPHI has all of sudden gotten hot, but Nelson has a 2.18 ERA in his last 57.7 IP
31Wily PeraltaPHI
32Jason HammelMILNow I'm thinking the hamstring issue might still be in play
33Aaron Nolaat ARI
34Alex WoodCINThose mechanics have always scared me and I just have a tough time trusting him long-term
35Raisel Iglesiasat SDHas a 3.33 ERA and 26 Ks in his last 24.3 IP
36Chase AndersonPHIBrilliant return from the DL w/7 shutout IP, wonder how much of struggles prior to DL was the injury playing a role
37Rubby De La RosaPHI, at ATL
38Brett AndersonWAS, CINHas a 2.43 ERA in his last 9 starts with 7 QS and a 1.20 WHIP
39Robbie Rayat ATL
40Kyle Hendricksat CWS
41Andrew Cashnerat COLHas a 51% GB rate in his last seven starts; had just 4 HR-free games in his first 14 starts, has six in his last seven starts
42Jake PeavyWAS
43Matt CainWAS
44Anthony DeSclafaniat LADHe's had some nice runs - incl. his last 3 w/a 2.25 ERA - but three 6 ER starts mar his season ERA
45Jon NieseCOL, PITHis last two months: 2.78 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 71.3 IP; just 49 Ks, kind of an NL Buehrle
46Dan HarenMIL, at CWS
47Matt Wislerat TBHe's been pretty up-and-down, but the Rays are an offense to pick on with righties
48Jeremy HellicksonPHIHas come crashing down after a strong run w/10 ER in his last 8 IP and just 5 Ks (had >5 Ks in 6 of 7 starts before that)

SIT

RankPitcherOppComments
49Tom Koehlerat STL
50Bartolo ColonPITFeeling lucky? 2, 7, 1, 6, and 1 ER in his last five starts
51Jeff Lockeat STL, at NYM
52Jon Grayat NYM, SD
53David PhelpsBOS
54Mike FoltynewiczARI
55Jorge De La Rosaat NYM
56Ian KennedyCIN, at COLKennedy in Coors? Not a chance.
57Charlie Mortonat NYM
58Williams Perezat TB
59Adam Morganat MIL
60Aaron Harangat ARI, at MIL
61J.A. Happat NYMNow has a 6.80 ERA in his last 47.7 IP; had a 3.31 ERA in his first 65.3 IP
62David Buchananat ARI
63Odrisamer DespaigneCIN
64Ryan VogelsongWAS
65Michael Lorenzenat SD, at LAD
66Tyler Cravyat CHC
67David Holmbergat SD, at LAD
68Matt Garzaat CHC
69Jose UrenaBOS
70Chris Rusinat NYM, SD
71Yohan Flandeat NYM
72Brad Handat STL
73Jerome Williamsat MIL
74Eddie ButlerSD
75Keyvius Sampsonat LAD

MLB TOP 100

RankPitcherOppComments
1Zack GreinkeWAS, CINHis 6 ER at PHI wouldn't have hurt so badly if we could've gotten his 3-3 w/a HR that day
2Clayton KershawWAS
3Max Scherzerat SFHas allowed just 11 ER in his last five starts and 5 ER came in one outing
4Chris SaleLAA, CHCAre some of these struggles on him? Yes, but 26% K & 5% BB rates suggest fears are overblown; .457 BABIP a likely culprit
5Carlos CarrascoNYY, at MINI'm asking to get burned here, aren't I? Back-to-back CGs and a 2.57 ERA in his L5 even w/a 4 IP/6 ER dud included
6Jake Arrietaat CWS
7Jacob deGromCOLHis 6.3 IP/2 ER outing at TB actually raised his ERA from 2.09 to 2.13; has fanned 7+ in each of his last four
8Gerrit Coleat STL
9Matt HarveyCOLThe BBs were a phase: 5, 4, 4 in three straight to open July, just 1 total in his last three starts
10Noah SyndergaardCOL
11Madison BumgarnerHOU, WASStill usually goes 6+ IP even on the tough nights which really helps the ERA; those 3 IP/6 ER gms can be killers
12Jose Fernandezat STLA 38-pitch inn. on Friday took some extra gas from the tank and MIA smartly limited him to 5 IP
13Johnny CuetoDET, LAA
14David PriceNYY
15Corey Kluberat MINThe volatility of the CLE pitchers has been remarkably frustrating, yet the talent is so much that it's hard to ever get too worried
16Dallas Keuchelat SF
17Chris Archerat TEX
18Felix Hernandezat BOS
19Sonny Grayat TORI gave everyone a TOR penalty of a few ranks; Gray is coming off of his third CG in six starts, but that TOR offense…
20Cole Hamelsat MIN
21Jon LesterMIL
22Francisco Lirianoat STL
23Lance LynnPIT
24Michael WachaPIT
25Stephen Strasburgat SFFanned 42% of the 38 batters he faced in two rehab stints; Sat. won't really sway the ranking unless it's just awful for some reason
26Carlos MartinezPIT, MIABack-to-back 5 IP outings a sign of fatigue? Already 30 IP over last year's total and it's almost all been starting
27Gio Gonzalezat LAD, at SF
28Joe Rossat LAD, at SFKudos to WAS for leaving Ross in over Fister; Ross will run up against a limit soon, but enjoy the great work until then
29John LackeyMIA
30Jose QuintanaCHCHas allowed more than 3 ER just once in his last 13 starts (4 ER v. KC): 2.78 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 21% K, 4% BB; 4.67 ERA in nine starts before that
31Scott Kazmirat SF
32Danny SalazarNYYFour straight quality starts, his longest streak of the season: 1.53 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 26% K, 7% BB in 35.3 IP
33Jake OdorizziATL
34Garrett Richardsat KC
35James ShieldsCINHis ERA might be a full run low than his current 3.75 if he had his old HR suppression, but the 1.5 HR/9 has killed him
36Julio TeheranARI
37Shelby MillerARI
38Nate Karnsat TEX
39Erasmo RamirezATL, at TEXWhen a 5 ER outing isn't so bad: Ramirez allowed 5 ER in the first inn. then held CWS to 1 H and 1 BB in the next five inn.
40Hector Santiagoat CWS, at KC
41Jordan Zimmermannat LADHas a 3.08 ERA over his last 64.3 IP w/53 Ks and a 7.6 K:BB ratio
42Mat LatosCIN
43Jeff SamardzijaCHCA 9 ER shellacking just as we started to gain confidence, I just don't get it with him this year
44Masahiro Tanakaat TORRec'd a bigger penalty than Gray because his Achilles Heel is TOR's strength: HRs; Tanaka has four multi-HR starts and a 1.5 HR/9
45Hisashi IwakumaBAL
46Patrick Corbinat ATLLast just 54 pitches (1.3 IP) at WAS, allowing 8 base runners and 3 ER; ATL is a nice landing spot for a rebound
47Chris HestonHOU
48Jaime GarciaMIA
49Taylor Jungmannat CHC, PHIJungmann, There's No Need to Feel Down
50Tyson Rossat COLThe obscene GB rate makes me worry less about him in Coors to the point where I'm comfortable starting him
51Jimmy NelsonPHIPHI has all of sudden gotten hot, but Nelson has a 2.18 ERA in his last 57.7 IP
52Taijuan WalkerBALMore than survived Coors w/a 7.3 IP/3 ER showing incl. 5 Ks
53Andrew Heaneyat CWS
54Eduardo Rodriguezat MIAHas a 2.84 ERA in three starts since that 1.7 IP/7 ER nightmare at LAA; run includes starts v. DET and at NYY
55Nathan Eovaldiat CLE
56Chris TillmanOAKNow has a 1.09 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in his last six starts totaling 41.3 IP
57Matt Shoemakerat KC
58Justin Verlanderat HOU
59Kyle GibsonTEX, CLEUnfortunately his start got switched from CLE to at TOR… ouch, 4.7 IP/8 ER
60Marco EstradaNYY
61Wily PeraltaPHI
62Jason HammelMILNow I'm thinking the hamstring issue might still be in play
63Aaron Nolaat ARI
64Alex WoodCINThose mechanics have always scared me and I just have a tough time trusting him long-term
65Raisel Iglesiasat SDHas a 3.33 ERA and 26 Ks in his last 24.3 IP
66Chase AndersonPHIBrilliant return from the DL w/7 shutout IP, wonder how much of struggles prior to DL was the injury playing a role
67Rubby De La RosaPHI, at ATL
68Brett AndersonWAS, CINHas a 2.43 ERA in his last 9 starts with 7 QS and a 1.20 WHIP
69Robbie Rayat ATL
70Collin McHughDETOn a bit of a run right now w/a 3.19 ERA in his last 59.3 IP, though the 1.30 WHIP isn't great
71Anibal Sanchezat KC
72Ervin SantanaCLEResults have vastly surpassed the skills to date, I think the latter will catch up, but it's tenuous right now
73Yovani Gallardoat MIN, TB
74R.A. DickeyOAKNow has a 2.59 ERA over his last 87 IP dating back to June 1st. He had a 5.77 ERA through May (64 IP in 10 starts)
75Edinson VolquezDET
76Chris Bassittat BAL
77Kevin Gausmanat SEAHe's been more good than bad, but the bad has included 7 ER and 6 ER starts
78Ubaldo JimenezOAK
79Mike Montgomeryat BOSHas rebounded from that tough start at DET w/3 ER in 12.7 IP w/11 Ks
80Kyle Hendricksat CWS
81Andrew Cashnerat COLHas a 51% GB rate in his last seven starts; had just 4 HR-free games in his first 14 starts, has six in his last seven starts
82Luis Severinoat CLE, at TORLoved the Severino debut, but this the TOR penalty at play
83Jake PeavyWAS
84Matt CainWAS
85Anthony DeSclafaniat LADHe's had some nice runs - incl. his last 3 w/a 2.25 ERA - but three 6 ER starts mar his season ERA
86Jon NieseCOL, PITHis last two months: 2.78 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 71.3 IP; just 49 Ks, kind of an NL Buehrle
87Trevor Bauerat MIN
88Wei-Yin Chenat SEA
89Mark BuehrleOAK
90Dan HarenMIL, at CWS
91Matt Wislerat TBHe's been pretty up-and-down, but the Rays are an offense to pick on with righties
92Jeremy HellicksonPHIHas come crashing down after a strong run w/10 ER in his last 8 IP and just 5 Ks (had >5 Ks in 6 of 7 starts before that)
93Mike FiersDET
94Wade MileySEACan be very good, but almost always cancels it out; in his last 16: 1.82 ERA in 11 of them; 10.43 ERA in six of them
95Martin PerezTB
96Henry OwensSEALooked pretty sharp his debut; the 5 IP/3 ER wasn't eye-popping, but solid stuff w/5 Ks and just 1 BB
97Danny DuffyLAA
98Miguel Gonzalezat SEA, OAK
99Colby LewisTBAnother guy who's really bad when he's off: 9 ER at CLE, 15 ER in 6 starts, 10 ER v. LAA, 9 ER in four starts, 7 ER v. HOU
100Jered Weaverat CWS, at KC
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Paul Sporer
Sporer covers pitching for RotoWire. He also writes for Baseball Prospectus and publishes an annual guide on starting pitcher. In his spare time, he roots for the Tigers.
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