This article is part of our Monday Night DFS Breakdown series.
Monday night's two games couldn't be any more different, as we start off with the Saints hosting the Texans in a game with a 52.5-point total on FanDuel Sportsbook (the Saints are 6.5-point favorites), while the Raiders are 2.5-point home underdogs to the Broncos in a game with a total of 42.5. Needless to say, many DFS lineups will be focusing on the first game.
Deshaun Watson, HOU at NO ($8,600 FD, $6,800 DK): The pricing for the two-game slate on FanDuel and DraftKings seem pretty soft for cash games, which shouldn't make it overly difficult to roster Watson, who has the highest floor and ceiling among the group of four quarterbacks. Given how low the total is in the late game, trusting Derek Carr ($5,400) or Joe Flacco ($5,100) seems like a giant leap of faith, while Brees is the signal caller for a team that's one of the best at getting production from their running backs. Brees' player props on FanDuel Sportsbook are more aggressive than Watson's, as his passing yards total is set at 285.5 versus 275.5, and he's -192 for over 1.5 touchdowns versus -152, though Watson's rushing yards prop is at 39.5. Both should be safe for cash games, but the upside seems to favor Watson slightly more, particularly because of the effectiveness of the Saints' running game.
For reference on the player props for Carr and Flacco, the Raiders' QB is set at 237.5 passing yards and -160 for under 1.5 touchdowns