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FantasyDraft MLB: Thursday Values

Adam Zdroik

Adam writes on sports ranging from NFL and MLB to soccer and college basketball. Outside of writing, he has worked with a professional soccer team, Sporting Kansas City, and in the stats department at ESPN. He is a former Streak for the Cash winner and Michigan State graduate.


Luis Severino, NYY vs. LAA ($24,000):
There arenít many choices for the night slate so Severino is the pick as the biggest favorite. He struggled last time out giving up four runs with four walks, but with at least six strikeouts in his last six starts, Severino is safer than most. It also helps that the Angels have one of the worst wOBAs against righties at .305.

Hyun-Jin Ryu, LAD vs. NYM ($14,000): I was looking forward to using Alex Wood here, but Ryu had his start moved up so this will have to do at a cheaper price. Ryu struck out seven last start and thatís the hope against the Mets, who have a high 25.4 K% and low .272 wOBA against lefties since the start of June.


I like some of the bats in the Giants/Braves game, but weather predictions have it raining all day in Atlanta, so keep an eye on that. If not, definitely grab some guys against Matt Cain.

Mike Zunino, SEA vs. DET ($7,200): Itís slightly incredible how cheap Zunino still is despite his recent tear with five homers in his seven games prior to Wednesday night. Since the start of May, he has a .431 wOBA and .357 ISO against lefties (30 at-bats). Daniel Norris has performed well lately but never goes further than seven innings, meaning Zunino will see Detroitís bullpen. Either way, Norris gives up a .346 wOBA to righties.

Justin Turner, LAD vs. NYM ($8,700): Turner started off the season hot and has continued with a .495 wOBA and .292 ISO since May 1. He also had a 14-game hitting streak before going hitless Tuesday. He can start another one against Steven Matz, who struggled a bit in his second start of the season last time out, allowing eight hits and four runs to the Nationals. Turner missed Wednesdayís game with ďheavy legs,Ē so the thought is that heíll be ready against Matz.

Jose Ramirez, CLE at BAL ($10,800): Not many have been better than Ramirez in the last month and Iím willing to spend more on him for this matchup. Heís had multiple hits in his last nine games and extra-base hits in seven of those. In June, Ramirezís wOBA is at .371 with a .333 ISO. Wade Miley allows a .352 wOBA and has a 4.43 xFIP against righties.


Austin Jackson, CLE at BAL ($7,600):
Iíll attack Miley again, but at a much cheaper price. Jacksonís numbers are much better in recent weeks with a .402 wOBA against lefties since the start of May (38 at-bats). Miley has been the opposite, allowing 15 runs in his last three starts and failing to make it three innings in two of those.

Albert Almora Jr., CHC at MIA ($6,300): Iíll save some more money with Almora, who should have a better spot in the batting order with a lefty on the mound. In 53 plate appearances against lefties, Almora has a solid .447 wOBA and small 13.2 K%. Jeff Locke has better numbers against righties through four starts this season, but Iíll point to his .372 wOBA allowed and 5.04 xFIP against righties in 2016.

Seth Smith, BAL vs. CLE ($8,000): Smith found some consistency in recent games, hitting safely in seven of his last eight. His numbers at home are also much better with a .373 wOBA and .232 ISO against righties. Mike Clevinger has given up at least three runs in three of his last four starts and has a worse 5.08 xFIP against the left side of the plate.


Alex Avila, DET at SEA ($7,600):
As one of the only lefties in the Tigers lineup, itís almost an obligation to take Avila unless you go really cheap with Alex Presley ($4,500). Avila has slowed down a bit, but is still producing consistently with a .439 wOBA in June with most of that coming against righties. Andrew Moore, making his MLB debut, moved up to Triple-A in May and has given up at least two runs in six of his eight starts since.

Aaron Judge, NYY vs. LAA ($11,100): If you have the money, Judge is the play because heís crushed righties at Yankee Stadium this season, more so than any other situation, with a .558 wOBA and .547 ISO. Conveniently, Jesse Chavez has been worse against righties with a .372 wOBA allowed and 4.92 xFIP. And with a smaller 17.3 K%, Judgeís 30.1 K% wonít be as big of factor.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.