OwnersBox NFL DFS: Week 4 Picks

OwnersBox NFL DFS: Week 4 Picks

This article is part of our DFS NFL series.

OwnersBox's SuperFlex contests provide participants with a chance to roster up to two quarterbacks per lineup, opening up the opportunity for major scoring boosts and more entertaining fantasy sweat overall.

Each week of the NFL regular season, we'll break down multiple appealing candidates for OwnersBox's Sunday slate NFL SuperFlex DFS contests. 

Quarterback

Josh Allen, BUF vs. HOU ($8,300)

Allen may be an obvious selection, but sometimes that's also the best option on the board. There's a strong argument to be made that certainly applies to the Bills star QB in Week 4, considering his breakout Week 3 effort and the fact the Texans come in allowing 269.3 passing yards per game and 7.6 yards per attempt.

Allen went off for 47 fantasy points in the Bills' Week 3 win over Washington, accounting for five total touchdowns. While Sunday's game could turn into a blowout, Allen will have undoubtedly played a significant part if that scenario does unfold. It's also worth noting that Houston has allowed an NFL-high three rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks and Allen has a proven history of capitalizing with his legs when given the opportunity. 

Baker Mayfield, CLE at MIN ($6,100)

Mayfield took a bit to settle down against the Bears in Week 3, but he finished with a solid 16 fantasy points and zero interceptions. Having Odell Beckham back in the fold certainly helped make up for the absence of Jarvis Landry (knee), and the QB-WR pairing should be close to hitting on all cylinders for this favorable matchup against Minnesota.

The Vikings have had trouble slowing down the pass this season, even in victory last week against the Seahawks. Minnesota has allowed 290.3 passing yards per contest, the second-highest average yards per attempt (9.2) and the league's highest completion percentage (75.8). Minnesota has applied strong pressure (10 sacks), so Mayfield will have to be efficient with his time in the pocket. Given his very modest salary and the chance this game turns into a bit of a shootout, Mayfield is in position to have another strong fantasy outing.

ALSO CONSIDER: Patrick Mahomes, KC at PHI ($8,300); Jalen Hurts, PHI vs. KC ($7,600)

Running Back

Alvin Kamara, NO vs. NYG ($8,000)

Kamara bounced back from a lackluster Week 2 effort with a season-high 19 fantasy points in Week 3 against the Patriots, a game in which he recorded his second receiving touchdown of the season. The versatile back has already hit the 20-carry mark in two of his first three games, a level of usage that has often eluded Kamara in the past. He now draws a favorable matchup in the Saints' long-awaited home opener.

The Giants have allowed 107.0 rushing yards per game and a healthy 4.6 yards per rush attempt. Additionally, New York has allowed the sixth-most receptions (21) and second-most receiving yards (202) to running backs, which naturally enhances Kamara's outlook. With Sean Payton clearly intent on keeping Jameis Winston limited to a modest number of pass attempts and at generally safe average depth of target, Kamara should be in for another busy day as both runner and receiver.

Kareem Hunt, CLE at MIN ($6,000)

Another dual-threat back whose prospects look bright this week is Hunt, who turned in his best performance of the season in Week 3 with 155 total yards and a rushing TD against the Bears. Hunt has now seen double-digit rushing attempts in back-to-back games and the elevated usage in the passing game that we saw in Week 3 (six receptions on seven targets) could well be replicated in Week 4.

The matchup also lines up well, as the Vikings have allowed 119.3 rushing yards per game at 4.8 yards per rush. Minnesota has also given up an average of five receptions per game to running backs over the first three weeks, and Hunt could certainly capitalize on that vulnerability and greatly supplement his fantasy production in the process.

ALSO CONSIDER: Derrick Henry, TEN at NYJ ($8,300); Antonio Gibson, WAS at ATL ($6,400)

Wide Receiver

Cooper Kupp, LAR at ARI ($7,400)

He has displayed instant chemistry with new quarterback Matthew Stafford, and although Kupp has seen a significant salary bump since the start of the season, it's been well earned. The fifth-year wideout just narrowly missed a third straight 100-yard effort in Week 3, and he's scored 23 to 37 fantasy points over his first three games of the season. Kupp is also averaging a whopping 11 targets per game. With a potential shootout in the desert on tap Sunday, he could well overdeliver on his salary again.

The Cardinals have some aesthetically pleasing pass defense metrics, but they have faced a seemingly unsettled Ryan Tannehill in Week 1 and rookie Trevor Lawrence in Week 3, while allowing Kirk Cousins a 68.8 percent completion rate and three TDs in their one home game. Arizona have also yielded five TDs to wideouts through three games, while Kupp has an identical figure all on his own.

DJ Moore, CAR at DAL ($6,300)

Moore has shown quick chemistry with new QB Sam Darnold, amassing 31 targets through three games and parlaying those looks into a 22-285-1 line. The 24-year-old's aDOT has dropped to 10.3 from last year's 12.9, but that's still a solid figure and it's helped lead to a nice boost in catch rate from 55.9 percent to 71.0 percent. Moore has hit the 20-fantasy-point mark twice in 2021 and he could be set up to do it a third time in a game that should be a wire-to-wire affair.

The Cowboys have been generous against the pass through their first three games, allowing each opposing quarterback to eclipse 300 yards while surrendering 7.7 yards per attempt and a 67.7 percent completion rate. Dallas has allowed a 43-625-4 line to receivers, good for a healthy 14.5 yards per grab. Moore should once again play a significant role in a game that the Panthers will likely have to remain aggressive through the air, making him an excellent mid-range value.

Deebo Samuel, SF vs. SEA ($5,500)

Samuel's salary jumps off the screen, considering the upside he's already demonstrated over the first three games of the season. The versatile third-year wideout is averaging 18.3 fantasy points and 10 targets per game while already posting a 30-point tally against the Lions back in Week 1. Samuel's reasonable salary is partly due to the fact his production has declined in each of the two subsequent contests, but that also makes it a great time to jump on him for a GPP tournament in an attractive matchup.

The Seahawks have had plenty of trouble in the back end of the defense, allowing 285.3 passing yards, 7.4 yards per attempt and a completion rate of 70.7 percent.  Seattle has yielded a 39-515-4 line to receivers, while Samuel is laying claim to 39.3 percent of San Francisco's air yards and 32.2 percent of the team's targets. He's also averaging an elite 9.4 yards after the catch, making him especially dangerous each when the ball is in his hands.

ALSO CONSIDER: Corey Davis, NYJ at TEN ($5,100); Emmanuel Sanders, BUF vs. HOU ($4,500)

Tight End

Travis Kelce, KC at PHI ($7,800)

Kelce is another no-brainer selection at the top of his position, but his talent and the matchup bear mentioning as well. The All-World tight end has already posted a pair of 100-yard tallies through the air and recorded three touchdowns while seeing his targets climb each week. The lack of a true No. 2 receiver may well continue to result in an even higher workload than usual for Kelce, propping up his already elite fantasy prospects. The matchup against the Eagles is an excellent one as well, as Philadelphia has given up a 20-170-2 line to tight ends, along with an 80.0 percent catch rate to the position. With between 17 and 25 fantasy points in each contest thus far, Kelce is worth the investment if you can afford it.

Logan Thomas, WAS at ATL ($5,000)

Thomas could turn out to be one of the best fantasy-point-per-dollar plays at TE in Week 4, given his strong chemistry with quarterback Taylor Heinicke and the expected game environment. The veteran tight end has a pair of double-digit fantasy-point tallies this season along with a pair of touchdowns. The Falcons have already given up three receiving touchdowns to TEs and have yielded a 70.8 percent completion rate overall, furthering Thomas' prospects at an excellent salary.

ALSO CONSIDER: George Kittle, SF vs. SEA ($6,100); Noah Fant, DEN vs. BAL ($4,700)

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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