MLB DFS: Wednesday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Wednesday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Wednesday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Jack FlahertyTouki ToussaintBraves1021061169881988.5-10512:10 PM
    Gabriel MoyaSpencer TurnbullTigers103981041031011041:10 PM
    Diego CastilloYohander MendezRangers117108107110106932:05 PM
    Noah SyndergaardZach EflinPhillies9895120971241097.51056:05
    Here's a quick glance at Wednesday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Jack FlahertyTouki ToussaintBraves1021061169881988.5-10512:10 PM
    Gabriel MoyaSpencer TurnbullTigers103981041031011041:10 PM
    Diego CastilloYohander MendezRangers117108107110106932:05 PM
    Noah SyndergaardZach EflinPhillies9895120971241097.51056:05 PM
    Sam GaviglioJimmy YacabonisOrioles106103114101121947:05 PM
    David PriceLuis SeverinoYankees1039514299123927:05 PM
    Heath FillmyerChris ArcherPirates969710110383947.5-2257:05 PM
    Dylan CoveyCarlos CarrascoIndians11411411010298948.5-3157:10 PM
    Matt HarveyGio GonzalezBrewers105103131961081039.0-1707:40 PM
    Roenis EliasDallas KeuchelAstros8393109941091018:10 PM
    Chris StrattonRobbie ErlinPadres92978597971037.5-1459:10 PM
    Cole HamelsRobbie RayDiamondbacks1161091061051111008.0-1209:40 PM
    Felix PenaBrett AndersonAthletics9697849787968.5-14010:05 PM
    Tyler AndersonWalker BuehlerDodgers909511396901037.5-23510:10 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Brett Anderson (L)v LAA123.713.96.47.50.875.241.48$5,400$7,1009120.5
    Tyler Anderson (L)at LAD248.322.57.614.91.634.821.31$7,200$6,40010421.6
    Chris Archer (R)v KC 336.327.37.420.01.204.311.32$7,700$7,8009421.6
    Walker Buehler (R)v COL128.027.87.620.20.983.231.07$11,300$9,4008023.3
    Carlos Carrasco (R)v CWS376.028.65.423.10.983.351.11$11,100$11,2009725.5
    Diego Castillo (R)at TEX50.027.99.118.80.723.240.98$4,400$5,5009824.4
    Dylan Covey (R)at CLE173.715.110.34.81.616.481.60$4,500$5,50010918.8
    Zach Eflin (R)v NYM184.718.55.413.01.564.921.32$7,600$6,8009722.1
    Roenis Elias (L)at HOU40.016.58.87.60.003.151.30$4,900$5,50012020.0
    Robbie Erlin (L)v SF 99.020.52.517.91.004.271.14$4,600$5,8007522.5
    Heath Fillmyer (R)at PIT68.014.810.34.51.194.761.41$5,100$6,1009819.1
    Jack Flaherty (R)at ATL159.728.89.519.31.243.331.13$11,400$9,2009921.0
    Sam Gaviglio (R)at BAL182.318.57.311.11.784.891.41$6,300$6,2008324.9
    Gio Gonzalez (L)v CIN357.021.610.211.40.933.611.32$7,100$7,50010621.8
    Cole Hamels (L)at ARI319.720.48.511.91.243.911.25$9,600$8,8009522.2
    Matt Harvey (R)at MIL237.317.87.810.01.715.461.45$7,300$7,30010323.7
    Dallas Keuchel (L)v SEA337.319.27.112.10.853.281.21$7,900$8,5009719.9
    Yohander Mendez (L)v TB 31.014.09.34.71.454.351.29$5,500$7,00010324.1
    Gabriel Moya (L)at DET38.720.68.512.11.634.661.24$4,000$5,50010220.2
    Felix Pena (R)at OAK116.022.78.813.91.404.191.34$8,000$8,00011121.7
    David Price (L)at NYY240.324.76.818.01.053.411.13$10,300$9,30011722.0
    Robbie Ray (L)v CHC270.732.011.620.41.333.391.23$9,200$8,7009422.4
    Luis Severino (R)v BOS372.728.96.222.80.973.211.09$9,900$9,10011618.5
    Chris Stratton (R)at SD 194.018.78.99.81.024.361.39$8,400$7,2008825.2
    Noah Syndergaard (R)at PHI165.724.75.319.40.383.211.22$10,500$10,00010124.5
    Touki Toussaint (R)v STL17.320.317.62.70.004.671.33$8,100$6,0009821.9
    Spencer Turnbull (R)v MIN1.033.30.033.30.000.000.00$6,900$5,5009521.8
    Jimmy Yacabonis (R)v TOR49.315.511.44.11.826.021.54$4,900$5,60010422.3

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Brett Anderson (L)v LAA11.57.73.80.340.40413.76.07.71.240.356
    Tyler Anderson (L)at LAD22.76.516.11.260.32121.77.214.51.460.334
    Chris Archer (R)v KC 27.28.618.71.390.32427.56.720.81.140.304
    Walker Buehler (R)v COL31.07.423.60.870.25125.07.717.31.100.286
    Carlos Carrasco (R)v CWS27.16.320.71.290.30828.04.823.20.870.284
    Diego Castillo (R)at TEX26.813.413.41.310.27027.76.321.40.320.234
    Dylan Covey (R)at CLE17.011.35.81.680.36113.09.33.71.520.362
    Zach Eflin (R)v NYM15.16.58.62.210.37718.14.813.31.040.307
    Roenis Elias (L)at HOU18.111.16.90.000.37512.98.64.30.550.304
    Robbie Erlin (L)v SF 27.23.723.51.010.28817.92.515.41.140.312
    Heath Fillmyer (R)at PIT13.313.30.00.470.29116.86.410.42.120.367
    Jack Flaherty (R)at ATL24.212.211.91.140.28733.56.826.81.330.286
    Sam Gaviglio (R)at BAL15.28.36.91.780.36321.26.514.71.780.348
    Gio Gonzalez (L)v CIN22.36.715.70.380.25921.710.011.71.100.321
    Cole Hamels (L)at ARI19.79.310.50.690.26822.18.613.51.300.323
    Matt Harvey (R)at MIL17.58.39.21.800.37518.86.412.41.110.322
    Dallas Keuchel (L)v SEA24.64.320.30.680.25818.47.710.70.990.309
    Yohander Mendez (L)v TB 16.213.52.70.000.33211.08.32.81.780.328
    Gabriel Moya (L)at DET25.011.713.31.290.29317.86.910.91.900.318
    Felix Pena (R)at OAK19.612.86.81.130.33827.25.321.91.560.299
    David Price (L)at NYY20.93.817.01.000.30125.36.618.71.140.299
    Robbie Ray (L)v CHC34.85.829.01.030.27129.211.917.31.380.322
    Luis Severino (R)v BOS27.57.520.00.990.30227.65.622.01.070.280
    Chris Stratton (R)at SD 15.710.15.61.200.34821.77.913.80.820.309
    Noah Syndergaard (R)at PHI26.17.119.00.440.29228.04.124.00.490.271
    Touki Toussaint (R)v STL14.720.6-5.90.000.21725.015.010.00.000.332
    Spencer Turnbull (R)v MIN0.00.00.00.000.000100.00.0100.00.000.000
    Jimmy Yacabonis (R)v TOR13.612.51.10.980.37316.810.76.12.320.355

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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