Regan's Rumblings: Looking at Hard-Hit Rate

Regan's Rumblings: Looking at Hard-Hit Rate

This article is part of our Regan's Rumblings series.

On the surface, Mitchell White pitched really well for the Dodgers on Sunday, holding Arizona hitters to just one hit and one run over five innings while walking none. White struggled mightily last year in Triple-A, posting a 6.50 ERA and 1.53 WHIP over 63.2 innings. We all know the Pacific Coast League is tough on pitchers, but that's obviously still pretty poor. White, though, is used to be a pretty highly rated prospect, so he does still bear watching in deeper leagues. Notice the phrase "On the surface" though, as there were some concerning things:

Just two strikeouts

Six hard hit balls, one of which went over the fence

14 balls put in play

Don't get me wrong, it was an encouraging outing, but he won't be so lucky next time. It did get me thinking about pitchers who had an elevated hard-hit rate last year, but whether it be by luck or something else, maintained a low ERA. Maybe you think twice about drafting these guys at their current ADPs. Some interesting names on this list to be sure. For reference, John Means somehow had the lowest hard-hit rate (27.8 percent) of any pitcher with 100 or more innings in 2019. Other pitchers in the top-10 lowest list included Jacob deGrom, Zack Wheeler and Stephen Strasburg.

Madison Bumgarner, Arizona (HH% - 43.8%, ERA - 3.90)

Bumgarner is lining up to be the team's Opening Day starter in San Diego, but it seems unlikely he'll have the

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
David Regan
David Regan is a six-time Fantasy Sports Writers Association award winner, including the 2015 Baseball Article of the Year and the 2010 Baseball Writer of the Year.
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