Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Jose Berrios | Mike Montgomery | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 5:05 PM | ||
| Felix Pena | David Hess | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 10.0 | 130 | 7:05 PM |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | CC Sabathia | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 9.0 | -125 | 7:05 PM |
| Erick Fedde | Nick Pivetta | Phillies | 98 | 95 | 120 | 97 | 124 | 109 | 8.5 | ||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Jose Berrios | Mike Montgomery | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 5:05 PM | ||
| Felix Pena | David Hess | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 10.0 | 130 | 7:05 PM |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | CC Sabathia | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 9.0 | -125 | 7:05 PM |
| Erick Fedde | Nick Pivetta | Phillies | 98 | 95 | 120 | 97 | 124 | 109 | 8.5 | -115 | 7:05 PM |
| Francisco Liriano | Marcus Stroman | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 9.0 | -190 | 7:07 PM |
| Gerrit Cole | Wilmer Font | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | 7.0 | 160 | 7:10 PM |
| Chase Anderson | Sal Romano | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 9.0 | -105 | 7:10 PM |
| Jacob deGrom | Sandy Alcantara | Marlins | 84 | 93 | 86 | 91 | 83 | 103 | 7.0 | 145 | 7:10 PM |
| Dylan Covey | Yovani Gallardo | Rangers | 117 | 108 | 107 | 110 | 106 | 93 | 10.5 | -145 | 8:05 PM |
| Julio Teheran | Miles Mikolas | Cardinals | 91 | 102 | 97 | 100 | 82 | 95 | 8.5 | -150 | 8:15 PM |
| Andrew Suarez | Patrick Corbin | Diamondbacks | 116 | 109 | 106 | 105 | 111 | 100 | 8.0 | -150 | 9:40 PM |
| Trevor Bauer | Paul Blackburn | Athletics | 96 | 97 | 84 | 97 | 87 | 96 | 8.5 | 150 | 10:05 PM |
| Ian Kennedy | Marco Gonzales | Mariners | 91 | 96 | 105 | 94 | 97 | 104 | 8.0 | -220 | 10:10 PM |
| Joe Musgrove | Eric Lauer | Padres | 92 | 97 | 85 | 97 | 97 | 103 | 10:10 PM | ||
| Tyler Anderson | Rich Hill | Dodgers | 90 | 95 | 113 | 96 | 90 | 103 | 7.5 | -160 | 10:10 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara (R) | v NYM | 8.3 | 25.6 | 15.4 | 10.3 | 2.16 | 4.32 | 1.80 | $5,300 | $5,500 | 103 | 22.0 |
| Chase Anderson (R) | at CIN | 223.7 | 21.7 | 8.3 | 13.4 | 1.21 | 3.34 | 1.12 | $7,000 | $6,300 | 102 | 20.1 |
| Tyler Anderson (L) | at LAD | 171.7 | 21.7 | 7.7 | 14.0 | 1.63 | 4.72 | 1.33 | $6,700 | $6,600 | 106 | 21.5 |
| Trevor Bauer (R) | at OAK | 283.3 | 28.2 | 8.0 | 20.3 | 0.95 | 3.53 | 1.26 | $13,300 | $12,000 | 110 | 22.2 |
| Jose Berrios (R) | at CHC | 248.7 | 24.3 | 6.7 | 17.6 | 0.98 | 3.58 | 1.11 | $10,400 | 107 | 21.1 | |
| Paul Blackburn (R) | v CLE | 76.0 | 10.5 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 0.83 | 4.50 | 1.33 | $4,800 | $5,700 | 112 | 20.7 |
| Gerrit Cole (R) | at TB | 308.7 | 27.3 | 7.0 | 20.3 | 1.28 | 3.67 | 1.13 | $13,000 | $11,500 | 95 | 22.8 |
| Patrick Corbin (L) | v SF | 289.7 | 25.1 | 7.2 | 17.9 | 1.15 | 3.76 | 1.27 | $11,900 | $9,600 | 94 | 21.9 |
| Dylan Covey (R) | at TEX | 114.3 | 15.3 | 10.8 | 4.6 | 1.73 | 6.06 | 1.57 | $6,800 | $6,400 | 94 | 24.8 |
| Jacob deGrom (R) | at MIA | 302.7 | 29.7 | 7.0 | 22.7 | 0.98 | 2.91 | 1.13 | $13,600 | $11,700 | 89 | 22.9 |
| Erick Fedde (R) | at PHI | 37.3 | 18.5 | 8.3 | 10.1 | 1.93 | 6.99 | 1.77 | $5,500 | $5,900 | 96 | 26.3 |
| Wilmer Font (R) | v HOU | 42.7 | 18.4 | 9.2 | 9.2 | 2.95 | 7.38 | 1.64 | $5,900 | $6,000 | 118 | 19.2 |
| Yovani Gallardo (R) | v CWS | 143.3 | 16.0 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 1.76 | 6.28 | 1.58 | $4,600 | $5,600 | 97 | 24.9 |
| Marco Gonzales (L) | v KC | 131.3 | 19.9 | 5.5 | 14.4 | 1.23 | 4.66 | 1.42 | $7,800 | $7,300 | 94 | 21.2 |
| David Hess (R) | v LAA | 41.3 | 13.3 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.96 | 5.44 | 1.48 | $4,400 | $5,500 | 108 | 20.4 |
| Rich Hill (L) | v COL | 171.3 | 28.3 | 9.1 | 19.2 | 1.37 | 3.73 | 1.18 | $7,700 | $7,400 | 97 | 21.4 |
| Ian Kennedy (R) | at SEA | 240.7 | 20.3 | 9.0 | 11.4 | 1.83 | 5.27 | 1.37 | $6,400 | $6,500 | 112 | 19.5 |
| Eric Lauer (L) | v PIT | 57.0 | 19.3 | 10.2 | 9.1 | 1.42 | 5.05 | 1.75 | $5,700 | $6,800 | 103 | 21.2 |
| Francisco Liriano (L) | at TOR | 158.7 | 19.2 | 12.3 | 6.9 | 1.08 | 4.99 | 1.48 | $6,200 | $6,700 | 92 | 20.8 |
| Miles Mikolas (R) | v ATL | 97.0 | 18.5 | 3.1 | 15.4 | 0.74 | 2.69 | 0.97 | $9,300 | $8,400 | 99 | 19.6 |
| Mike Montgomery (L) | v MIN | 191.7 | 17.7 | 9.4 | 8.4 | 0.70 | 3.38 | 1.19 | $7,700 | 87 | 23.0 | |
| Joe Musgrove (R) | at SD | 142.7 | 21.1 | 6.1 | 15.1 | 1.32 | 4.73 | 1.35 | $7,600 | $7,200 | 85 | 24.7 |
| Felix Pena (R) | at BAL | 46.0 | 24.3 | 10.5 | 13.8 | 2.15 | 5.28 | 1.57 | $6,600 | $5,800 | 86 | 24.9 |
| Nick Pivetta (R) | v WAS | 217.3 | 25.7 | 8.6 | 17.1 | 1.45 | 5.26 | 1.40 | $9,500 | $8,600 | 95 | 21.2 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez (L) | at NYY | 219.0 | 25.9 | 8.1 | 17.8 | 1.19 | 4.07 | 1.28 | $8,100 | $8,100 | 125 | 22.5 |
| Sal Romano (R) | v MIL | 172.0 | 17.8 | 9.6 | 8.2 | 1.20 | 4.92 | 1.47 | $5,000 | $6,100 | 99 | 24.2 |
| CC Sabathia (L) | v BOS | 225.0 | 19.0 | 7.4 | 11.7 | 1.24 | 3.52 | 1.27 | $6,500 | $7,500 | 100 | 23.0 |
| Marcus Stroman (R) | v DET | 243.3 | 19.5 | 7.9 | 11.6 | 0.96 | 3.74 | 1.37 | $6,300 | $6,200 | 85 | 21.7 |
| Andrew Suarez (L) | at ARI | 65.0 | 23.0 | 4.9 | 18.1 | 1.25 | 4.43 | 1.26 | $7,200 | $7,000 | 102 | 23.2 |
| Julio Teheran (R) | at STL | 270.0 | 19.4 | 9.6 | 9.8 | 1.53 | 4.50 | 1.33 | $6,900 | $7,900 | 98 | 22.9 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Sandy Alcantara (R) | v NYM | 19.0 | 14.3 | 4.8 | 0.00 | 0.366 | 33.3 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 4.50 | 0.384 |
| Chase Anderson (R) | at CIN | 20.9 | 9.1 | 11.7 | 1.19 | 0.286 | 19.9 | 7.5 | 12.4 | 1.56 | 0.344 |
| Tyler Anderson (L) | at LAD | 22.6 | 7.9 | 14.7 | 1.35 | 0.332 | 21.0 | 6.7 | 14.3 | 1.35 | 0.334 |
| Trevor Bauer (R) | at OAK | 26.1 | 8.1 | 18.0 | 1.05 | 0.312 | 24.4 | 8.4 | 16.0 | 0.86 | 0.305 |
| Jose Berrios (R) | at CHC | 21.5 | 10.1 | 11.4 | 1.23 | 0.320 | 24.0 | 5.7 | 18.3 | 1.07 | 0.304 |
| Paul Blackburn (R) | v CLE | 10.9 | 8.2 | 2.7 | 0.49 | 0.291 | 10.1 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 1.14 | 0.342 |
| Gerrit Cole (R) | at TB | 27.4 | 7.4 | 20.0 | 1.24 | 0.327 | 22.9 | 6.8 | 16.1 | 0.94 | 0.282 |
| Patrick Corbin (L) | v SF | 30.0 | 8.9 | 21.1 | 1.33 | 0.310 | 20.7 | 7.7 | 13.0 | 1.20 | 0.331 |
| Dylan Covey (R) | at TEX | 17.1 | 11.3 | 5.8 | 1.50 | 0.354 | 13.5 | 10.2 | 3.3 | 1.99 | 0.374 |
| Jacob deGrom (R) | at MIA | 25.1 | 7.2 | 17.9 | 0.81 | 0.287 | 30.4 | 6.1 | 24.3 | 1.11 | 0.279 |
| Erick Fedde (R) | at PHI | 20.0 | 7.1 | 12.9 | 1.66 | 0.346 | 16.9 | 9.6 | 7.2 | 2.30 | 0.469 |
| Wilmer Font (R) | v HOU | 16.0 | 6.2 | 9.9 | 3.00 | 0.395 | 20.0 | 11.3 | 8.7 | 2.92 | 0.410 |
| Yovani Gallardo (R) | v CWS | 17.4 | 13.4 | 3.9 | 1.48 | 0.350 | 14.9 | 9.0 | 5.9 | 1.55 | 0.360 |
| Marco Gonzales (L) | v KC | 18.5 | 4.6 | 13.9 | 1.44 | 0.325 | 20.2 | 5.7 | 14.5 | 1.18 | 0.351 |
| David Hess (R) | v LAA | 14.6 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 2.11 | 0.386 | 11.8 | 9.4 | 2.4 | 1.80 | 0.335 |
| Rich Hill (L) | v COL | 20.3 | 11.1 | 9.2 | 0.75 | 0.306 | 31.2 | 7.7 | 23.4 | 1.01 | 0.269 |
| Ian Kennedy (R) | at SEA | 20.5 | 9.2 | 11.3 | 1.69 | 0.328 | 22.1 | 8.0 | 14.1 | 1.69 | 0.331 |
| Eric Lauer (L) | v PIT | 11.3 | 9.4 | 1.9 | 0.82 | 0.332 | 21.3 | 10.4 | 10.9 | 1.57 | 0.389 |
| Francisco Liriano (L) | at TOR | 23.1 | 8.7 | 14.3 | 0.93 | 0.293 | 20.6 | 12.9 | 7.7 | 1.36 | 0.349 |
| Miles Mikolas (R) | v ATL | 15.5 | 2.4 | 13.1 | 1.11 | 0.313 | 21.9 | 3.9 | 18.0 | 0.37 | 0.192 |
| Mike Montgomery (L) | v MIN | 19.8 | 8.8 | 11.0 | 0.59 | 0.273 | 19.1 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 0.76 | 0.286 |
| Joe Musgrove (R) | at SD | 22.7 | 7.0 | 15.7 | 1.17 | 0.336 | 20.1 | 5.4 | 14.6 | 1.44 | 0.329 |
| Felix Pena (R) | at BAL | 20.7 | 17.1 | 3.6 | 1.52 | 0.366 | 30.6 | 4.5 | 26.1 | 2.30 | 0.331 |
| Nick Pivetta (R) | v WAS | 25.1 | 10.1 | 15.0 | 0.88 | 0.321 | 26.3 | 7.3 | 19.0 | 1.96 | 0.356 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez (L) | at NYY | 28.9 | 7.9 | 20.9 | 0.87 | 0.329 | 23.5 | 8.4 | 15.1 | 1.33 | 0.307 |
| Sal Romano (R) | v MIL | 17.8 | 10.7 | 7.1 | 1.03 | 0.356 | 17.8 | 8.6 | 9.1 | 1.35 | 0.330 |
| CC Sabathia (L) | v BOS | 23.0 | 9.7 | 13.3 | 1.07 | 0.301 | 18.5 | 7.4 | 11.1 | 1.20 | 0.313 |
| Marcus Stroman (R) | v DET | 18.4 | 8.2 | 10.2 | 0.70 | 0.312 | 20.6 | 6.1 | 14.4 | 1.18 | 0.318 |
| Andrew Suarez (L) | at ARI | 27.7 | 1.5 | 26.2 | 0.49 | 0.208 | 21.5 | 6.0 | 15.5 | 1.54 | 0.372 |
| Julio Teheran (R) | at STL | 16.8 | 11.7 | 5.1 | 1.50 | 0.335 | 24.3 | 4.1 | 20.1 | 1.18 | 0.283 |
