Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Michael Fulmer | Kyle Hendricks | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 2:20 PM | ||
| Jake Odorizzi | Junior Guerra | Brewers | 105 | 103 | 131 | 96 | 108 | 103 | 9.0 | -150 | 4:10 PM |
| Brian Johnson | Tanner Roark | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 9.5 | -110 | 6:05 PM |
| Sean Newcomb | Domingo German | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 9.0 | ||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Michael Fulmer | Kyle Hendricks | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 2:20 PM | ||
| Jake Odorizzi | Junior Guerra | Brewers | 105 | 103 | 131 | 96 | 108 | 103 | 9.0 | -150 | 4:10 PM |
| Brian Johnson | Tanner Roark | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 9.5 | -110 | 6:05 PM |
| Sean Newcomb | Domingo German | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 9.0 | -185 | 7:05 PM |
| Alex Cobb | Zach Eflin | Phillies | 98 | 95 | 120 | 97 | 124 | 109 | 9.0 | -160 | 7:05 PM |
| Zack Wheeler | Marco Estrada | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 9.0 | -130 | 7:07 PM |
| Lucas Giolito | Anthony DeSclafani | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 9.5 | -200 | 7:10 PM |
| Ryan Yarbrough | Trevor Richards | Marlins | 84 | 93 | 86 | 91 | 83 | 103 | 7:10 PM | ||
| Dallas Keuchel | Austin Bibens-Dirkx | Rangers | 117 | 108 | 107 | 110 | 106 | 93 | 10.5 | 155 | 8:05 PM |
| Chris Stratton | Antonio Senzatela | Rockies | 138 | 121 | 117 | 116 | 118 | 87 | 12.0 | -130 | 8:10 PM |
| Shane Bieber | Danny Duffy | Royals | 103 | 102 | 85 | 102 | 76 | 94 | 9.0 | 170 | 8:15 PM |
| Clayton Richard | Chris Bassitt | Athletics | 96 | 97 | 84 | 97 | 87 | 96 | 8.0 | -140 | 9:05 PM |
| Jack Flaherty | Zack Greinke | Diamondbacks | 116 | 109 | 106 | 105 | 111 | 100 | 7.5 | -140 | 9:40 PM |
| Andrew Heaney | Wade LeBlanc | Mariners | 91 | 96 | 105 | 94 | 97 | 104 | 8.5 | -110 | 10:10 PM |
| Ivan Nova | Clayton Kershaw | Dodgers | 90 | 95 | 113 | 96 | 90 | 103 | 7.5 | -250 | 10:10 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt (R) | v SD | 22.3 | 18.4 | 8.2 | 10.2 | 0.40 | 2.82 | 1.16 | $6,300 | $7,000 | 86 | 24.5 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx (R) | v HOU | 92.0 | 13.9 | 6.6 | 7.3 | 1.47 | 4.40 | 1.35 | $4,400 | $6,300 | 116 | 19.2 |
| Shane Bieber (R) | at KC | 24.3 | 26.2 | 3.9 | 22.3 | 0.74 | 2.22 | 1.32 | $9,600 | $8,200 | 78 | 19.8 |
| Alex Cobb (R) | at PHI | 254.0 | 16.4 | 6.0 | 10.4 | 1.28 | 4.57 | 1.35 | $4,500 | $6,000 | 96 | 26.2 |
| Anthony DeSclafani (R) | v CWS | 28.3 | 20.3 | 7.6 | 12.7 | 1.91 | 4.45 | 1.27 | $7,600 | $6,800 | 98 | 24.7 |
| Danny Duffy (L) | v CLE | 241.0 | 20.7 | 8.5 | 12.3 | 1.16 | 4.26 | 1.35 | $6,000 | $6,600 | 114 | 18.6 |
| Zach Eflin (R) | v BAL | 121.0 | 17.9 | 5.1 | 12.9 | 1.49 | 4.69 | 1.28 | $9,900 | $9,100 | 86 | 24.9 |
| Marco Estrada (R) | v NYM | 275.3 | 20.8 | 8.1 | 12.7 | 1.47 | 4.84 | 1.35 | $7,400 | $8,400 | 101 | 22.1 |
| Jack Flaherty (R) | at ARI | 83.0 | 27.0 | 8.1 | 18.8 | 1.41 | 3.80 | 1.19 | $10,100 | $8,000 | 80 | 23.2 |
| Michael Fulmer (R) | at CHC | 259.0 | 18.2 | 6.6 | 11.6 | 0.83 | 3.96 | 1.19 | $7,700 | $7,400 | 110 | 20.7 |
| Domingo German (R) | v ATL | 78.7 | 27.8 | 9.0 | 18.8 | 1.37 | 4.92 | 1.25 | $8,500 | $6,500 | 99 | 19.2 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | at CIN | 130.0 | 15.0 | 11.1 | 3.9 | 1.45 | 5.12 | 1.36 | $4,900 | $6,100 | 101 | 20.2 |
| Zack Greinke (R) | v STL | 305.3 | 26.4 | 5.2 | 21.2 | 1.21 | 3.27 | 1.08 | $10,900 | $10,100 | 97 | 23.0 |
| Junior Guerra (R) | v MIN | 153.0 | 22.3 | 11.2 | 11.1 | 1.65 | 4.00 | 1.33 | $8,700 | $7,800 | 98 | 19.4 |
| Andrew Heaney (L) | at SEA | 103.7 | 23.3 | 7.5 | 15.8 | 2.00 | 4.60 | 1.30 | $7,700 | $7,600 | 114 | 20.9 |
| Kyle Hendricks (R) | v DET | 231.7 | 20.3 | 7.2 | 13.0 | 1.28 | 3.50 | 1.20 | $7,600 | $6,900 | 84 | 21.5 |
| Brian Johnson (L) | at WAS | 67.0 | 19.1 | 6.5 | 12.6 | 1.34 | 4.30 | 1.43 | $5,700 | 91 | 22.7 | |
| Clayton Kershaw (L) | v PIT | 232.0 | 29.1 | 4.6 | 24.5 | 1.16 | 2.44 | 1.00 | $12,000 | $10,600 | 105 | 21.1 |
| Dallas Keuchel (L) | at TEX | 248.0 | 20.0 | 7.3 | 12.7 | 0.98 | 3.45 | 1.21 | $8,500 | $8,900 | 104 | 22.3 |
| Wade LeBlanc (L) | v LAA | 140.0 | 19.0 | 5.5 | 13.4 | 1.22 | 3.92 | 1.20 | $7,100 | $6,400 | 95 | 18.5 |
| Sean Newcomb (L) | at NYY | 193.0 | 23.7 | 11.6 | 12.1 | 0.79 | 3.54 | 1.38 | $9,000 | $7,700 | 128 | 22.6 |
| Ivan Nova (R) | at LAD | 274.3 | 17.3 | 4.4 | 12.8 | 1.35 | 4.10 | 1.25 | $7,000 | $7,500 | 112 | 21.8 |
| Jake Odorizzi (R) | at MIL | 229.0 | 22.0 | 10.2 | 11.7 | 1.73 | 4.32 | 1.31 | $6,400 | $6,700 | 102 | 24.2 |
| Clayton Richard (L) | at OAK | 304.3 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 10.9 | 1.01 | 4.61 | 1.42 | $6,800 | $8,700 | 98 | 23.6 |
| Trevor Richards (R) | v TB | 48.0 | 20.5 | 10.5 | 10.0 | 0.75 | 5.06 | 1.48 | $7,500 | $5,900 | 94 | 23.2 |
| Tanner Roark (R) | v BOS | 280.0 | 21.0 | 8.4 | 12.6 | 1.16 | 4.47 | 1.31 | $7,200 | 119 | 19.1 | |
| Antonio Senzatela (R) | v SF | 152.0 | 18.0 | 8.2 | 9.8 | 1.18 | 4.86 | 1.34 | $4,700 | $5,500 | 109 | 23.5 |
| Chris Stratton (R) | at COL | 149.7 | 18.8 | 9.8 | 9.0 | 0.84 | 4.15 | 1.43 | $5,400 | $6,200 | 83 | 23.3 |
| Zack Wheeler (R) | at TOR | 175.0 | 21.8 | 9.4 | 12.4 | 1.23 | 4.83 | 1.46 | $8,100 | $7,900 | 104 | 23.8 |
| Ryan Yarbrough (L) | at MIA | 79.0 | 21.0 | 8.3 | 12.7 | 1.25 | 3.76 | 1.29 | $6,200 | $6,100 | 76 | 22.0 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Chris Bassitt (R) | v SD | 18.8 | 8.9 | 9.8 | 0.68 | 0.262 | 16.8 | 10.1 | 6.7 | 1.52 | 0.377 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx (R) | v HOU | 10.2 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 1.30 | 0.321 | 16.9 | 6.4 | 10.5 | 1.61 | 0.344 |
| Shane Bieber (R) | at KC | 27.1 | 6.8 | 20.3 | 1.38 | 0.405 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 0.00 | 0.221 |
| Alex Cobb (R) | at PHI | 18.0 | 8.2 | 9.8 | 1.37 | 0.350 | 15.0 | 4.3 | 10.6 | 1.32 | 0.332 |
| Anthony DeSclafani (R) | v CWS | 22.0 | 5.2 | 16.8 | 1.64 | 0.346 | 19.2 | 7.4 | 11.8 | 0.96 | 0.280 |
| Danny Duffy (L) | v CLE | 27.5 | 4.5 | 23.0 | 0.47 | 0.216 | 21.9 | 7.9 | 14.0 | 1.41 | 0.336 |
| Zach Eflin (R) | v BAL | 14.4 | 6.3 | 8.1 | 2.27 | 0.370 | 17.0 | 4.6 | 12.4 | 0.87 | 0.304 |
| Marco Estrada (R) | v NYM | 21.6 | 7.8 | 13.8 | 1.22 | 0.285 | 21.5 | 9.0 | 12.5 | 1.49 | 0.341 |
| Jack Flaherty (R) | at ARI | 19.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 1.79 | 0.332 | 33.9 | 6.3 | 27.6 | 1.05 | 0.277 |
| Michael Fulmer (R) | at CHC | 18.6 | 7.0 | 11.6 | 0.81 | 0.291 | 19.4 | 6.0 | 13.4 | 0.91 | 0.288 |
| Domingo German (R) | v ATL | 23.1 | 8.8 | 14.4 | 1.15 | 0.294 | 32.0 | 9.1 | 22.9 | 1.59 | 0.335 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | at CIN | 11.9 | 12.8 | -0.9 | 1.75 | 0.365 | 17.1 | 9.6 | 7.5 | 1.57 | 0.328 |
| Zack Greinke (R) | v STL | 23.7 | 5.3 | 18.3 | 1.12 | 0.299 | 24.7 | 5.8 | 18.9 | 1.36 | 0.300 |
| Junior Guerra (R) | v MIN | 21.5 | 11.5 | 10.0 | 1.24 | 0.303 | 21.4 | 9.0 | 12.4 | 1.25 | 0.305 |
| Andrew Heaney (L) | at SEA | 21.1 | 4.4 | 16.7 | 0.40 | 0.254 | 24.1 | 7.7 | 16.4 | 2.47 | 0.366 |
| Kyle Hendricks (R) | v DET | 22.2 | 8.2 | 14.0 | 1.16 | 0.294 | 20.7 | 5.4 | 15.3 | 0.92 | 0.269 |
| Brian Johnson (L) | at WAS | 21.7 | 6.7 | 15.0 | 0.00 | 0.241 | 18.5 | 6.4 | 12.0 | 1.74 | 0.359 |
| Clayton Kershaw (L) | v PIT | 31.1 | 2.4 | 28.7 | 1.03 | 0.247 | 29.7 | 4.0 | 25.7 | 0.86 | 0.242 |
| Dallas Keuchel (L) | at TEX | 24.1 | 4.2 | 19.9 | 0.78 | 0.262 | 19.2 | 7.9 | 11.3 | 1.08 | 0.313 |
| Wade LeBlanc (L) | v LAA | 15.9 | 3.2 | 12.7 | 1.24 | 0.328 | 20.6 | 5.9 | 14.7 | 1.55 | 0.304 |
| Sean Newcomb (L) | at NYY | 24.9 | 11.2 | 13.7 | 1.00 | 0.334 | 23.4 | 11.8 | 11.6 | 0.73 | 0.300 |
| Ivan Nova (R) | at LAD | 12.8 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 1.42 | 0.354 | 22.0 | 4.5 | 17.4 | 1.24 | 0.305 |
| Jake Odorizzi (R) | at MIL | 23.3 | 8.5 | 14.8 | 1.44 | 0.292 | 20.6 | 9.0 | 11.6 | 1.68 | 0.337 |
| Clayton Richard (L) | at OAK | 24.8 | 5.7 | 19.1 | 0.19 | 0.295 | 14.5 | 8.3 | 6.3 | 1.16 | 0.354 |
| Trevor Richards (R) | v TB | 26.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 | 0.36 | 0.277 | 15.5 | 9.1 | 6.4 | 1.16 | 0.391 |
| Tanner Roark (R) | v BOS | 19.5 | 10.3 | 9.2 | 1.11 | 0.322 | 21.8 | 6.6 | 15.1 | 0.85 | 0.280 |
| Antonio Senzatela (R) | v SF | 17.2 | 9.7 | 7.5 | 1.35 | 0.322 | 18.7 | 6.8 | 11.9 | 1.03 | 0.333 |
| Chris Stratton (R) | at COL | 14.8 | 11.9 | 3.0 | 0.87 | 0.341 | 22.9 | 7.6 | 15.2 | 0.81 | 0.316 |
| Zack Wheeler (R) | at TOR | 25.3 | 10.7 | 14.6 | 1.65 | 0.347 | 19.1 | 8.4 | 10.7 | 0.91 | 0.317 |
| Ryan Yarbrough (L) | at MIA | 25.3 | 9.6 | 15.7 | 1.77 | 0.302 | 19.6 | 7.8 | 11.8 | 1.07 | 0.315 |
