This is our Sunday Night Football DFS breakdown, running through all the relevant player salaries on DraftKings and FanDuel while forecasting the potential game outcomes as the San Francisco 49ers face the Atlanta Falcons in San Francisco.
The 49ers have been subjected to downright cruel injury luck all year, but it seems to steadily just get worse. The otherwise high-impact return of George Kittle (hamstring) is offset by the loss of the incomparable Fred Warner, and against the Falcons on Sunday night the 49ers will also be without Brock Purdy (toe) and Ricky Pearsall (knee).
At 3-2 and riding high after a big Week 6 victory against Buffalo, the Falcons are generally listed as a 1.0-point underdog on the road against these battered 49ers. The over/under is at 47.0.
QUARTERBACK
Mac Jones ($9600 DK, $11000 FD) has impressed and without the benefit of much help around him. Kendrick Bourne has two 140-yard games in a row with Jones, and the return of Kittle could prove to be a big deal. The Atlanta pass rush has been intimidating, on the other hand, most recently sacking Josh Allen four times on just 30 dropbacks. Jones will likely get rid of the ball quickly, but he still might need to navigate treacherous waters at times.
Michael Penix ($9400 DK, $10600 FD) has settled in nicely the last two weeks, throwing three touchdowns to one interception, but he still hasn't shown the ability to produce with volume. His best showings so far benefited from robust and explosive run-game production, and to be fair to Penix the Falcons wide receiver rotation is bad with the likes of David Sills and Casey Washington playing starter-level snaps.
RUNNING BACK
Bijan Robinson ($12200 DK, $13400 FD) is awfully tough to fade these days, even with a number of expensive from-scrimmage producers in this game. In the event that Robinson disappoints as a runner – and that doesn't happen often – he'll almost always offset it with pass-catching production. With no Fred Warner or Nick Bosa at this point the 49ers just have a lot working against them. The Falcons also like to get Tyler Allgeier ($5200 DK, $5000 FD) going with double-digit carries whenever possible, but as a fantasy asset his upside is limited due to Robinson's monopoly on the pass-catching work.
Christian McCaffrey ($12000 DK, $13200 FD) is one of the other three toughest fades on this slate. His extremely high usage paired with his talent and Kyle Shanahan's scheming allows McCaffrey to transcend difficult conditions at times, but these conditions might be challenging. The Falcons defense in general has been great so far, and they've allowed fewer PPR points per game to running backs than any other team so far in 2025. Brian Robinson ($3000 DK, $3800 FD) only played five snaps last week, so it's McCaffrey or it's nobody in the 49ers backfield.
WIDE RECEIVER + TIGHT END
Drake London ($10200 DK, $12000 FD) is probably an advised start, arguably to a similar degree as Robinson at running back. Even if Darnell Mooney ($6800 DK, $7200 FD) returns from his hamstring injury, London's target rate and efficiency are compelling. The better Mooney does the more it might press on the margins for Kyle Pitts ($5800 DK, $5800 FD), who otherwise would and still might be a candidate to be Atlanta's second-leading route runner in this game. Casey Washington has been remarkably unproductive and David Sills was out of the league for years, making them and blocking specialist tight end Charlie Woerner no more than punt plays.
Kendrick Bourne ($8800 DK, $8200 FD) is at awfully tempting prices for a guy with two 140-yard games in a row. The return of star tight end George Kittle ($7400 DK, $7800 FD) could take some of Bourne's target share, but their two prices are modest enough that they might be able to coexist as cashing picks, especially if Jones has another productive game and Jauan Jennings ($7000 DK, $6000 FD) continues to struggle with his injuries. With ankle troubles and multiple broken ribs, it's not clear how well Jennings can play at the moment.
What's less clear yet is how much opportunity the remaining likes of Demarcus Robinson ($3400 DK, $4400 FD), Jake Tonges ($4400 DK, $5400 FD) and Skyy Moore ($800 DK, $1600 FD) might see. Tonges had been playing prominently in Kittle's absence, but Kittle's return might send Tonges to the bench if Luke Farrell ($600 DK, $2800 FD) remains the blocking specialist at tight end.
KICKER
Parker Romo ($5000 DK, $6400 FD) doesn't seem great but his opportunity level could be consistently good given Atlanta's excellent run game and defense to this point. Field positioning should consistently be in Atlanta's favor over the course of the year. He has two games of double-digit fantasy points this year despite missing three of his 11 field goal attempts.
Eddy Pineiro ($5400 DK, $7000 FD) has impressed for San Francisco this year, making all 15 of his field goal attempts, including four from beyond 50 yards. Pineiro still probably doesn't have great range, but his accuracy has always been good and he seems locked in right now. He has 27 fantasy points in his last two games and at least seven fantasy points in all games this year.
DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS
The 49ers ($4000 DK, $6600 FD) defense would have been strong this year if not for injuries and still isn't a pushover, but to play without your two best players and only two star-level talents on defense has to hurt. Penix is still unproven and the Falcons might be run-dependent as a result, but with Robinson and Allgeier it's not easy for defenses to deny them the run.
The Falcons ($3800 DK, $6800 FD) defense might be the more advised pick of the two, if either. The 49ers can get a lot out of McCaffrey, Kittle and apparently Bourne, but the Atlanta pass rush looks like it might be one of the best in the league.
