Get top DraftKings MMA DFS picks and strategy for UFC Vegas 110: Onama vs. Garcia. Build winning lineups with our preview, analysis & fighter breakdowns.
UFC Vegas 110 DraftKings DFS Preview and Picks
If you're hoping to turn the event into an opportunity to build your DFS bankroll, DraftKings.com has you covered with a full slate of contests, including a $300k UFC Throwdown with $100k to first place. Players get a $50,000 budget to select six fighters, and the scoring rules are noted at the bottom of the column. Let's get to the action...
Main Event - Featherweight
Steve Garcia (18-5-0) v. David Onama (14-2-0)
DK Salaries: Garcia ($8,300), Onama ($7,900)
Vegas Odds: Garcia (-130), Onama (+110)
This fight isn't going to do anything for the casual fan, and as a result, it's a weird choice for a main event. It's still an intriguing bout at 145 pounds, and the winner is going to find himself in a good place in the division moving forward.
Garcia was thoroughly mediocre early in his professional career, losing three of four at one point and then two of his first three with the UFC. Yet, the light bulb has gone off of late in a major way. He's won six straight dating back to October 2022, including four via knockout. Included in that stretch are victories over Chase Hooper and last time out, Calvin Kattar, so he hasn't simply been beating up nobodies.
Onama enters having won four in a row, including a unanimous decision over Giga Chikadze his last time out in April in which Chikadze missed weight. Onama is physical and athletic, and he seems to be improving each time he steps into the Octagon. He won't be 32 years of age until next June, so it's reasonable to expect further improvements moving forward.
The concerns regarding Garcia are obvious. He's 33 years old and is entirely reliant on his power for success. He's a quality striker, landing 5.18 significant strikes per minute. For a guy that does almost all his damage on the feet, he rarely gets hit, absorbing just 2.2 significant strikes per minute. The volume feels hit-or-miss at times with Garcia, but he did put up a career-best 85 significant strikes against Kattar. His numbers are a bit skewed because he's gone the distance just once -- his last time out against Kattar -- dating back to February 2020.
Garcia's lack of grappling figures to hold him back eventually. He averages less than a takedown per minute (0.90) and doesn't have a single submission win in his pro career.
Onama has bounced back and forth between featherweight and lightweight in his career, something I'm not thrilled about. At 5-foot-11, he's clearly best served competing at 145 pounds if his body can handle it. He has missed weight once in his UFC career.
David may not have the pure power of Garcia, but I'd argue he's just as explosive on the feet. The issue is that he tends to get hit more than Steve (4.73 significant strikes per minute), although he's never been knocked out in 16 professional fights, so I don't see him changing things up any time soon.
If Onama has any grappling chops we haven't seen yet, this is the time to use them. In a fight scheduled for five rounds, anything he can do to limit Garcia's opportunities on the feet is a major positive.
I view this fight is a pick 'em, and it's essentially lined as such.
I eventually settled on Onama because he's displayed quality durability in the past, but this one could go either way.
UFC VEGAS 110 PICK: Onama
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Co-Main Event - Heavyweight
Waldo Cortes-Acosta (14-2-0) v. Ante Delija (26-6-0)
DK Salaries: Cortes-Acosta ($8,200), Delija ($8,000)
Vegas Odds: Cortes-Acosta (-110), Delija (-110)
Cortes-Acosta's UFC run looks great on paper, but a deeper analysis reveals cause for concern. Yes, he's 7-2 in nine fights with the company, but five of those have come via decision, and he's primarily going up against lower-end competition. His best wins are over second-tier guys like Serghei Spivac and Ryan Spann. His best opponent to date, Sergei Pavlovich, handled Waldo quite easily his last time out in August.
One of the most decorated heavyweights in PFL history and winner of their 2022 tournament, Delija made his UFC debut in Paris in September at age 35 and knocked Marcin Tybura out in a shade over two minutes. I was on Tybura in that fight and couldn't have been more wrong. There's a real chance it goes down as the highlight of his run with the company, but Delija has some skill and is fun to watch.
Waldo grew up playing baseball and is a good athlete for a big man. He has excellent footwork and moves well. The issue is that he fights entirely from the outside as a point kickboxer. I'm not buying the power, and I'm certainly not buying his limited grappling game. He seems to be plenty beatable if you employ the correct game plan. At age 34, I'm not expecting further improvements.
Of course, Delija is even older and has durability issues. Four of his six career defeats have come via knockout. He crashes the pocket and lets the chips fall where they may. Typically, that's not a style I'm particularly interested in, especially with an aging fighter, but it's how you have to attack Cortes-Acosta, who typically does whatever he can to avoid a firefight at all costs.
Ante is also the better grappler, with six career wins via submission (although it's worth noting he doesn't have one in more than 11 years). I don't expect him to try and wrestle Cortes-Acosta, although I think hit would serve him well to at least threaten to do so.
Delija is the pick simply because he should be able to crash the pocket and cause chaos without having to worry about Waldo's power. If he decides to grapple a bit, even better.
UFC VEGAS 110 PICK: Delija
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Welterweight
Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1) v. Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0)
DK Salaries: Wells ($7,800), Gorimbo ($8,400)
Vegas Odds: Wells (+120), Gorimbo (-140)
Gorimbo theoretically still has some promise, although it's almost entirely tied to the fact he has very limited experience competing at the highest level. He'll be 35 years of age in January, so he's certainly not a kid, and he shouldn't really be expected to make significant improvements on a fight-by-fight basis.
Gorimbo won four straight from May 2023 to October 2024, all against lower-to-mid-level competition. The UFC then gave him a better opponent in December and he was choked out by Vicente Luque in 52 seconds. It's a very bad look considering what we have seen from Luque since that result.
Wells will have turned 39 years of age two days before this event takes place, so he's just about out of time. The Pennsylvania native shockingly won his first four UFC bouts, including three via stoppage (two knockouts, one submission), but it's been tougher sledding of late. Wells was tapped out by Carlston Harris in August 2023 and dropped a split decision to Max Griffin in February 2024. He's been on the sidelines since. In the interim, Wells has withdrawn from scheduled matchups against Niko Price and Andreas Gustafsson, which is concerning in its own right.
Both these guys tend to execute shockingly similar game plans. Both are very low volume on the feet and heavily reliant on their wrestling game for success.
Wells is averaging a shade over three takedowns per 15 minutes. Themba is at 4.81. Both defend the takedown at a clip north of 80 percent.
Standing, Wells averages 2.41 significant strikes per minute, while Gorimbo is at 3.15.
When Themba fought Price last October, he racked up seven takedowns and 9:14 worth of control time and still finished with just 68 significant strikes. At 6-foot-1, he's four inches taller than Wells, and I expect he's going to try to lean on positioning over damage if he is able to get his opponent to the mat. Judges don't appear to be valuing that strategy much these days, but as the bigger man, he should have the advantage, particularly in tight.
Again, this is another fight you can't feel great about either way.
UFC VEGAS 110 PICK: Gorimbo
Women's Bantamweight
Ketlen Vieira (15-4-0) v. Norma Dumont (12-2-0)
DK Salaries: Vieira ($7,600), Dumont ($8,600)
Vegas Odds: Vieira (-165), Dumont (+140)
Now 34 years old, Vieira has quickly turned into the very definition of roster depth. She's alternated wins and losses in her past five fights. In her past nine fights, she's 5-4. Her past eight bouts have all seen the final bell. While the results have been maddeningly inconsistent, Vieira hasn't had it easy in terms of competition level faced. She's been in there with Miesha Tate, Holly Holm, Raquel Pennington and current UFC Women's Bantamweight Champion Kayla Harrison. The fact Vieira was able to go the distance with Harrison just over a year ago is a good sign.
Dumont just turned 35 years of age, and quite honestly, is probably deserving of a bigger fight than this one. She enters having won five straight and could very easily be riding a nine-fight winning streak had she not dropped a split decision to Macy Chiasson in May of 2022. Unlike Vieira, the UFC has given Norma weaker competition, and she has taken advantage.
Dumont is a featherweight any way you slice it, and it's a struggle for her every time she has to cut down to 135 pounds. She's already missed weight twice in her UFC career. If the company had enough depth to competently run a 145-pound female division, Norma would be competing there.
Vieira has been a bantamweight her entire career, but she had a bad weight cut prior to her most recent fight against Chiasson in May, and the fight went ahead as a featherweight bout after Ketlen forfeited 25 percent of her purse. She went on to win via unanimous decision.
To recap, both these women are getting up there in age and both, Dumont especially, would be best served fighting at featherweight full time if it was possible. It isn't, so here we are.
Norma's versatility is impressive. She's proven she can win a fight in a variety of ways. She recorded six takedowns against Germaine de Randamie and three against Chelsea Chandler. On the feet, she piled up 159 significant strikes her last time out against Irene Aldana and 94 earlier in her career against Ashlee Evans-Smith. Dumont seems to identify a weakness on a fight-by-fight basis and attempt to exploit it.
Weigh-ins are especially important here, but if Dumont looks healthy on the scale, her versatility, combined with the inconsistency or Vieira, makes Norma the play.
UFC VEGAS 110 PICK: Dumont
Other Bouts
Featherweight
Isaac Dulgarian (7-1-0) v. Yadier Del Valle (9-0-0)
DK Salaries: Dulgarian ($9,100), del Valle ($7,100)
Vegas Odds: Dulgarian (-240), del Valle (+200)
THE PICK: Dulgarian
Welterweight
Charlie Radtke (10-5-0) v. Daniel Frunza (9-3-0)
DK Salaries: Radtke ($8,700), Frunza ($7,500)
Vegas Odds: Radtke (-150), Frunza (+125)
THE PICK: Radtke
Light Heavyweight
Billy Elekana (8-2-0) v. Kevin Christian (9-2-0)
DK Salaries: Elekana ($8,900), Christian ($7,300)
Vegas Odds: Elekana (-240), Christian (+200)
THE PICK: Christian
Bantamweight
Timothy Cuamba (9-3-0) v. Chang Ho Lee (11-1-0)
DK Salaries: Cuamba ($8,500), Lee ($7,700)
Vegas Odds: Cuamba (-115), Lee (-105)
THE PICK: Lee
Middleweight
Donte Johnson (6-0-0) v. Sedriques Dumas (10-3-0, 1NC)
DK Salaries: Johnson ($9,200), Dumas ($7,000)
Vegas Odds: Johnson (-350), Dumas (+275)
THE PICK: Johnson
Women's Strawweight
Alice Ardelean (10-7-0) v. Montserrat Ruiz (10-4-0)
DK Salaries: Ardelean ($9,300), Ruiz ($6,900)
Vegas Odds: Ardelean (-400), Ruiz (+310)
THE PICK: Ardelean
Welterweight
Phil Rowe (11-5-0) v. Seok Hyeon Ko (12-2-0)
DK Salaries: Rowe ($7,400), Ko ($8,800)
Vegas Odds: Rowe (+175), Ko (-210)
THE PICK: Ko
Women's Strawweight
Talita Alencar (6-1-1) v. Ariane Carnelossi (15-3-0)
DK Salaries: Alencar ($9,000), Carnelossi ($7,200)
Vegas Odds: Alencar (-230), Carnelossi (+190)
THE PICK: Alencar
Note: All odds accurate as of time of posting, and taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook, if available. Check out DraftKings to bet on MMA Odds and use the DraftKings promo code for a great welcome offer.
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DraftKings MMA Scoring
Note: Scoring has been updated as of early-2021! Please review the scoring changes below.
Moves Scoring
Strikes: +0.2 PTS
Significant Strikes (SS): +0.2 PTS
Control Time: +0.03 PTS/SECOND
Takedown (TD): +5 PTS
Reversal/Sweep (REV): +5 PTS
Knockdown (KD): +10 PTS
Fight Conclusion Bonuses
1st Round Win (1rW+): +90 PTS
2nd Round Win (2rW+): +70 PTS
3rd Round Win (3rW+): +45 PTS
4th Round Win (4rW+): +40 PTS
5th Round Win (5rW+): +40 PTS
Decision Win (WBD+): +30 PTS
Quick Win Bonus: +25 PTS
(fight is finished in 60 seconds or less)
Scoring Notes
- Significant Strikes are any Distance Strike or Clinch/Ground Strikes that are considered "Power Strikes" by official scorers.
- A Significant Strike will count as both a strike and a significant strike and will be worth a total of 0.4 Pts
- Control Time is the time spent in the dominant position on the ground or in the clinch. +0.03 points are awarded per second.
- A Knockdown is awarded to a fighter who knocks his/her opponent down due to debilitation for what the official scorers consider an appreciable amount of time.
- A Quick Win Bonus is awarded to the winning fighter if they win in the first round in 60 seconds or less.
