FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets

FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets

This article is part of our FanDuel MLB series.

After Monday's meager three-gamer, we've got a full 15-game slate Tuesday with most team's coming in rested and fresh. Shane Bieber ($11,500) leads five arms in five-figures, and there are another three priced above $9k, so we've got no shortage of options on the bump. Bieber and his ability to pile up Ks make him safe, but we'll examine some other options in addition to some big-name bats priced down due to form and/or matchup. These huge player pool slates lend themselves to some prime offensive options at a discount.

Pitching

Walker Buehler, LAD at PIT ($10,800): It may be surprising, at least it as to me, but the Pirates fan only 22.8 percent of the time against righties, which will limit Buehler's upside. But with a .289 wOBA and .118 ISO, the floor seems incredibly high with innings, limited damage and a quality start fully expected. Buehler has been worth 3x in eight of 10 and flirted with 4x (40 FDP or better) six times to date.

Pablo Lopez, MIA vs. COL ($9,600): The choice in second-tier arms is Lopez's seemingly limited ceiling but stable floor against Chris Bassitt's ($9,700) higher ceiling with more volatility. Bassitt has gone for 40 or more FDP seven times, but been in the teens four times. Lopez counters with three 40-plus FDP showings, but six more of 27 FDP or better. Colorado sports just a 69 wRC+ and .140 ISO against righties, and a league-worst .252 wOBA, 57 wRC+ and .092 ISO away from Coors Field.

Sonny Gray, CIN vs. MIL ($8,000): Gray is three points away from 4x in three consecutive games and has gone for 3x or better in six of his last seven, including a 37 FDP showing against the Brewers on May 22. Mix in Milwaukee's league-worst .288 wOBA, 81 wRC+ and a 26.0 percent K rate, and there's plenty of appeal.

Marco Gonzales, SEA at DET ($7,100): Detroit is the league's worst offense against lefties, fanning a ridiculous 30.6 percent of the time, pairing that with a .277 wOBA, .109 ISO and 75 wRC+. Gonzales' numbers are heavily skewed due to two bat starts to open the year. He's allowed two runs or fewer in four straight, and there shouldn't be any resistance here towards 4x, if not better. He's the clear chalky pay down option.

Top Targets

Fernando Tatis, SD vs. CHC ($4,500):  I strive to not include the top-priced arm above most nights, so putting Tatis here seems lazy, and I clearly don't need to tell you he's an option. But sometimes things just align. Pair him with a second-tier arm, and enjoy that he has a .460 wOBA, .419 ISO and 197 wRC+, while Cubs' starter Zach Davies is allowing a .436 wOBA and 1.017 OPS to righties on the road.

Matt Olson, OAK vs. ARI ($3,900): Olson is seeing a price reduction after leaving Coors Field, yet has 11 hits, two homers, eight RBI and eight runs scored in his last six games. He's carrying a .393 wOBA and .276 ISO against righties into Tuesday against Jon Duplantier, who is allowing a .392 wOBA to lefties.

Value Bats

Andrew McCutchen, PHI vs ATL ($3,500): This is such a weird slate price wise (see the MVP below). McCutchen is hitting .225, but has a .429 wOBA, 174 wRC+, and .329 ISO against lefties, and Braves' lefty Drew Smyly is allowing 2.11 long balls per nine to righties. It's an insanely small sample, but McCutchen is 3-of-7 with two bombs against Smyly in his career, giving him the nod over teammate Rhys Hoskins.

Salvador Perez, KC vs. LAA ($3,200): The simple fact is that many won't consider a catcher at FanDuel, given the C/1B option. The alternative is that Perez has a .375 wOBA, 140 wRC+ and .305 ISO while checking in price-favorable.

Freddie Freeman, ATL at PHI ($3,000): Is this number real? I recognize Freeman isn't raking, but he's the reigning NL MVP who's been a bit unlucky as his .231 BABIP against righties suggests. He fans only 15.6 percent of the time, and a .361 wOBA isn't easy to find at this tag. He's been so-so against Aaron Nola in his career, but Nola is also in a funk and allowing a .344 wOBA to lefties against .266 two righties. At this tag, he Freeman doesn't need to do much to return 3x.

Andrew Vaughn, CWS vs. TOR ($2,000): If you're simply a stats man, Vaughn is a great option if you're trying to fit in Bieber on the bump. He's done little of substance lately, but still carries a .457 wOBA and .386 ISO against lefties into Tuesday. Jays' starter Robbie Ray has a 29.8 percent K rate on the road against righties, but he's also allowing 3.32 HR/9. For this low a cost, Vaughn could flirt with 10x with a lucky swing.

Stacks to Consider

Dodgers vs. JT Brubaker: Cody Bellinger ($4,000), Mookie Betts ($3,600), Max Muncy ($3,500)

Brubaker is coming off of a calming six-inning shutout performance against the Rockies, but he'd previously allowed 12 runs and 15 hits across 11.0 innings to the Braves and Cardinals. The Dodgers lineup fits the mold of the two later, and not one former. Muncy should be well healed after being limited over the weekend, and his .344 wOBA is the lowest of this trio. Bellinger feels over-priced for his form, which means low usage, while Betts is priced far too favorably to ignore. A former MVP, he's got a .398 wOBA against righties to date, something you can't find at this tag.

Orioles vs. David Peterson: Trey Mancini ($3,200), Ryan Mountcastle ($2,900), Freddy Galvis ($2,500)

This stack couldn't get much cheaper, and there's huge upside. Mancini is a top-tier run producer who has cooler, which makes him far too appealing given his .429 wOBA and .319 ISO. As his price has dropped on lack of form, Mountcastle's hasn't risen given his current heater. He boasts a .398 wOBA, 158 wRC+ and .246 ISO against lefties, and has 11 hits, four homers and 10 RBI in his last six games. Galvis is the third option based on middle-infield flexibility over Anthony Santander, a .398 wOBA and .271 ISO not withstanding, as we can find outfielders' elsewhere. Peterson, for his part, is allowing a .370 wOBA to right-handed bats on the road.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Chris Bennett plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: k30kittles, DraftKings: k30kittles.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Bennett
Bennett covers baseball, college football and college basketball for RotoWire. Before turning to fantasy writing, he worked in scouting/player development for the Atlanta Braves and Montreal Expos. He's also a fan of the ACC.
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