Exploiting the Matchups: NFL Conference Championships

Exploiting the Matchups: NFL Conference Championships

This article is part of our Exploiting the Matchups series.

One game has young quarterbacks. The other game has old quarterbacks. All four are good quarterbacks. Now that we got that out of the way, let's take a look at the injuries and mismatches that could create exploitable situations this Sunday...

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers — 3:05 ET

Betting Odds: Packers -3, O/U 51

Weather Forecast at Kickoff: 31° F. 20% chance of precipitation. Wind around 10 mph. 

TB injuries: WR Antonio Brown (knee)

GB injuries: RB AJ Dillon (quad)

   

Injury Breakdown

The Packers always list a ton of players on their injury reports, but none besides Dillon was forced out of the divisional round win over Los Angeles. The rookie running back took six carries for 27 yards on nine snaps before he was injured (and fumbled) midway through the fourth quarter. 

Tampa is also in good shape from a health standpoint, with Brown being the only real question mark. He was hobbled during the win over New Orleans, catching just one pass for 10 yards while playing 40 percent of snaps. The Bucs would love to have Brown healthy for this game, but as far as fallback plans go, Scotty Miller and Tyler Johnson both would be solid choices for the No. 3 receiver role.

   

Mismatch #1: Bucs' running game >>> Packers front seven

The Bucs were heavily reliant on Tom Brady throughout most of the season, finishing 29th in rush attempts and 28th in rushing yards.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jerry Donabedian
Jerry was a 2018 finalist for the FSWA's Player Notes Writer of the Year and DFS Writer of the Year awards. A Baltimore native, Jerry roots for the Ravens and watches "The Wire" in his spare time.
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