This article is part of our The Z Files series.
Regular readers of this space know I'm a big fan of using average exit velocity on fly balls and fly ball distance as proxies for power. With a little over a month in the books, I thought it would be interesting to check out some early power numbers with an eye on unearthing some batters with a surge in their future, as well as overperformers.
Two different approaches will be utilized. The first identifies players performing above or below normal levels, with the second focusing on hitters doing what is expected but with some early good or bad luck.
High Average Fly Ball Distance
The first group of hitters have an average fly ball distance well above their norm. It could be a small sample anomaly, or perhaps representative of a new skill level with respect to increased average exit velocity.
|Player||# Fly balls||2021 FB AEV||FBDst||HR||Career FB AEV|
On paper, the idea is to be ready for a lower average exit velocity the rest of the season, with a likely drop in homers. To be honest, one doesn't need next-level analysis to draw this conclusion as it unlikely any of these hitters are doing something to