The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Two

The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Two

This article is part of our The Z Files series.

To say fantasy baseball is all about profit is a bit myopic. Sure, a positive return on investment is obligatory, but profit alone doesn't win championships. Profit yields more stats to work with, no doubt. However, it's the nature of the stats and their efficient management into rotisserie points that drives championships. Still, it all begins with profit.

This installment of the Winning Tendencies series will focus on where teams derived profit in a general sense. The next part of the series will hone in on specific players and types of players. By means of review, data from the 2019 National Fantasy Baseball Championship Main Event will fuel the research. This is a contest featuring 38 leagues with 15 teams each. All 570 drafts were downloaded and utilized in the study.

Profit from Opening Day Rosters

Drafts aren't usually thought about in terms of player prices, but using historical data from conventional auction valuation, the expected return for each draft pick can be quantified. Here's a grid displaying typical expected earning per draft slot for 15-team leagues:

RDTM 1TM 2TM 3TM 4TM 5TM 6TM 7TM 8TM 9TM 10TM 11TM 12TM 13TM 14TM 15

1

44

40

39

36

35

34

34

33

32

32

31

31

30

30

30

2

24

25

25

25

26

26

26

26

27

27

28

28

28

29

29

3

24

24

24

23

23

23

23

23

22

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Todd Zola
Todd has been writing about fantasy baseball since 1997. He won NL Tout Wars and Mixed LABR in 2016 as well as a multi-time league winner in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship. Todd is now setting his sights even higher: The Rotowire Staff League. Lord Zola, as he's known in the industry, won the 2013 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Article of the Year award and was named the 2017 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year. Todd is a five-time FSWA awards finalist.
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