This article is part of our MLB Barometer series.
I'm a big advocate for leaning on the wisdom of crowds whenever possible. While I have enough confidence in my evaluations and predictions to endorse the things I write and say, I'm also aware that if I differ from the expert consensus on a given player, there's a strong chance I'm not in fact smarter than every other person who writes and talks about fantasy baseball.
I think the same way about the experts I follow most closely. While I'm a fan of theirs for a reason, I should balance what they say against what the rest of the industry thinks. The industry's top talents may in fact know a good deal more than the rest of us, but everyone has his or her own personal biases and blind spots. If you pool the wisdom of a large group of knowledgeable people (and I count those playing in high-stakes leagues alongside those paid to talk about the game among that group), those inaccuracies tend to cancel out, leaving a clearer picture of the truth than you'd get by listening to any one person.
That's why I enjoy participating in large group events such as The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational or the Too Early Mocks. It's why I frequently reference NFBC average draft position. And it's also why, while I wasn't able to participate, I've enjoyed looking at the results of the NFBC's Second Chance Drafts from this past weekend. They provide an excellent window into how the market as a