Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Top Pitchers This Week

Written by

Todd Zola

Published on June 7, 2025

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Through Friday's action, league ERA is down over last season - which feels strange after a number of horrible starts. Here's some stats, focusing on earned runs per start for the two years:

ER	2025	2024
12	2
11	2
10	0	7
9	7	17
8	17	48
7	40	121
6	70	203
5	123	339
4	211	563
3	304	728
2	369	942
1	411	1004
0	360	886

Comparing is easier using percentage of overall starts:

ER	2025	2024
12	0.10%
11	0.10%
10	0.00%	0.14%
9	0.37%	0.35%
8	0.89%	0.99%
7	2.09%	2.49%
6	3.65%	4.18%
5	6.42%	6.98%
4	11.01%	11.59%
3	15.87%	14.99%
2	19.26%	19.39%
1	21.45%	20.67%
0	18.79%	18.24%

Presenting the data this way shows there are fewer disasters so far this season, though it could catch up as offense usually increases:

	2025	2024
8 or more ER	1.46%	1.48%
7 or more ER	3.55%	3.97%
6 or more ER	7.20%	8.15%
5 or more ER	13.62%	15.13%

This is rather crude analysis, but so far there have been 28 starts with at least eight earned runs. Random distribution indicates almost everyone in a 15-team league would have absorbed two. Those, like me with Jesus Luzardo and Brandon Pfaadt active for their last two outings, are less fortunate.

This notion warrants a deeper treatment. But if you've been victimized twice by a terrible performance, you're on par with much of your league. If

Through Friday's action, league ERA is down over last season - which feels strange after a number of horrible starts. Here's some stats, focusing on earned runs per start for the two years:

ER	2025	2024
12	2
11	2
10	0	7
9	7	17
8	17	48
7	40	121
6	70	203
5	123	339
4	211	563
3	304	728
2	369	942
1	411	1004
0	360	886

Comparing is easier using percentage of overall starts:

ER	2025	2024
12	0.10%
11	0.10%
10	0.00%	0.14%
9	0.37%	0.35%
8	0.89%	0.99%
7	2.09%	2.49%
6	3.65%	4.18%
5	6.42%	6.98%
4	11.01%	11.59%
3	15.87%	14.99%
2	19.26%	19.39%
1	21.45%	20.67%
0	18.79%	18.24%

Presenting the data this way shows there are fewer disasters so far this season, though it could catch up as offense usually increases:

	2025	2024
8 or more ER	1.46%	1.48%
7 or more ER	3.55%	3.97%
6 or more ER	7.20%	8.15%
5 or more ER	13.62%	15.13%

This notion warrants a deeper treatment. But if you've been victimized twice by a terrible performance, you're on par with much of your league. If you've escaped a pair of duds, consider yourself lucky.

There were 72 starts of at least eight earned runs during 2024, or around five each in 15-team formats. Hang in there, and hopefully the other owners will also be subjected to the same fate.

Many rotations are in flux. The crew at the Probable Pitchers page can explain their current reasoning if you're curious. I'm happy to handle any rankings questions below. As always, an update will be posted Sunday night.

Week of June 9 - 15

Mixed League

RK	Pitcher	TM	OPP	Comments	MIX12	MIX15
1	Chris Sale	ATL	@MIL, COL	Back in the Cy Young discussion
2	Tarik Skubal	DET	@BAL
3	Framber Valdez	HOU	CWS
4	MacKenzie Gore	WAS	@NYM, MIA	Worthy of ace status
5	Robbie Ray	SF	@COL, @LAD	25 K, only 4 BB over last 20 IP
6	Jack Flaherty	DET	CIN
7	Merrill Kelly	ARI	SEA, SD
8	Nick Pivetta	SD	LAD, @ARI
9	Matthew Boyd	CHC	@PHI, PIT
10	Paul Skenes	PIT	@CHC
11	Max Fried	NYY	@KC
12	Shane Smith	CWS	@HOU, @TEX	Walks high, but facing manageable lineups
13	Jacob deGrom	TEX	@MIN	Strikeouts and velo down, worth monitoring
14	Clarke Schmidt	NYY	@KC, @BOS
15	Joe Ryan	MIN	@HOU
16	Spencer Schwellenbach	ATL	@MIL
17	Tanner Bibee	CLE	@SEA
18	Logan Webb	SF	@COL
19	Drew Rasmussen	TB	@NYM
20	Sonny Gray	STL	@MIL
21	Kris Bubic	KC	NYY, ATH	Showing no signs of slowing down
22	Kodai Senga	NYM	WAS
23	Zack Wheeler	PHI	CHC
24	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	LAD	SF
25	Jeffrey Springs	ATH	@LAA, @KC
26	Gavin Williams	CLE	@SEA
27	Bryan Woo	SEA	@ARI
28	Jameson Taillon	CHC	PIT
29	Nathan Eovaldi	TEX	CWS
30	Jose Berrios	TOR	@STL, @PHI
31	Ranger Suarez	PHI	TOR
32	Cristopher Sanchez	PHI	TOR
33	Shane Baz	TB	@BOS, @NYM
34	Sandy Alcantara	MIA	@PIT	Still skeptical of a turnaround but has a soft matchup
35	Logan Gilbert	SEA	CLE
36	Bailey Ober	MIN	TEX
37	Dustin May	LAD	@SD, SF
38	Spencer Strider	ATL	COL
39	Cade Horton	CHC	PIT		0%	0%
40	Ryan Pepiot	TB	@BOS
41	Ben Brown	CHC	@PHI	Beginning to use his changeup more
42	Tyler Mahle	TEX	CWS	Regression underway, but still due more
43	David Peterson	NYM	WAS
44	Edward Cabrera	MIA	@WAS
45	Grant Holmes	ATL	@MIL
46	Nick Lodolo	CIN	@CLE
47	Kevin Gausman	TOR	@PHI
48	Taj Bradley	TB	@NYM
49	Zebby Matthews	MIN	TEX, @HOU
50	Luis L. Ortiz	CLE	CIN, @SEA
51	Hunter Brown	HOU	MIN
52	Clay Holmes	NYM	TB
53	Hayden Birdsong	SF	@COL
54	Luis Castillo	SEA	CLE
55	Michael Wacha	KC	ATH
56	Bryce Miller	SEA	@ARI
57	Eury Perez	MIA	@PIT, @WAS		4%	4%
58	Aaron Nola	PHI	TOR
59	Griffin Canning	NYM	WAS, TB
60	Yusei Kikuchi	LAA	ATH, @BAL
61	Sean Burke	CWS	@HOU		3%	28%
62	Zac Gallen	ARI	SD
63	Luis Severino	ATH	@KC
64	Tyler Anderson	LAA	@BAL		42%
65	Freddy Peralta	MIL	ATL, STL
66	Zach Eflin	BAL	DET
67	Tomoyuki Sugano	BAL	LAA
68	Dylan Cease	SD	LAD
69	Tylor Megill	NYM	TB
70	David Festa	MIN	TEX		8%	47%
71	Lance McCullers	HOU	CWS
72	Andre Pallante	STL	TOR, @MIL		7%
73	Slade Cecconi	CLE	CIN		0%	0%
74	Mitch Keller	PIT	MIA, @CHC
75	Garrett Crochet	BOS	NYY
76	Brandon Pfaadt	ARI	SEA	Grumble, grumble
77	Colton Gordon	HOU	MIN		0%	0%
78	Miles Mikolas	STL	TOR, @MIL		9%
79	Clayton Kershaw	LAD	SF		0%	0%
80	Sawyer Gipson-Long	DET	@BAL, CIN		0%	0%
81	Chris Paddack	MIN	@HOU
82	Keider Montero	DET	CIN		0%	4%
83	Jose Quintana	MIL	STL		12%
84	Jack Leiter	TEX	@MIN, CWS
85	Erick Fedde	STL	@MIL		46%
86	Eduardo Rodriguez	ARI	SEA		12%
87	Bailey Falter	PIT	MIA		6%
88	Jose Soriano	LAA	ATH
89	Ryan Weathers	MIA	@WAS
90	Jake Irvin	WAS	@NYM		43%
91	George Kirby	SEA	CLE
92	Cal Quantrill	MIA	@PIT		4%	42%
93	Andrew Abbott	CIN	@CLE
94	Adrian Houser	CWS	@TEX		0%	0%
95	Carlos Rodon	NYY	@BOS
96	Zack Littell	TB	@BOS
97	Cole Ragans	KC	NYY
98	Ben Casparius	LAD	@SD		23%
99	Matthew Liberatore	STL	TOR
100	Davis Martin	CWS	@HOU		1%	19%
101	Michael Soroka	WAS	@NYM		21%
102	Mix 12 Reliever
103	Ryne Nelson	ARI	SD		36%
104	Colin Rea	CHC	@PHI, PIT		22%
105	Stephen Kolek	SD	@ARI		22%
106	Seth Lugo	KC	NYY
107	Chris Bassitt	TOR	@STL
108	Landen Roupp	SF	@LAD
109	Nick Martinez	CIN	@DET
110	Charlie Morton	BAL	LAA		14%
111	Justin Wrobleski	LAD	@SD		0%	2%
112	Jacob Lopez	ATH	@KC		0%	0%
113	Cade Povich	BAL	DET, LAA		19%
114	Eric Lauer	TOR	@STL		0%	0%
115	Mitch Spence	ATH	@LAA		0%	0%
116	Mix 15 Reliever
117	Chad Patrick	MIL	ATL		27%
118	Bowden Francis	TOR	@PHI		43%
119	Trevor Williams	WAS	MIA		0%	9%
120	Mitchell Parker	WAS	MIA		10%	19%
121	Patrick Corbin	TEX	@MIN		4%	39%
122	Lucas Giolito	BOS	TB
123	Walker Buehler	BOS	TB
124	Brayan Bello	BOS	TB, NYY
125	Jesus Luzardo	PHI	CHC	Facing the top offense in the league, not the best matchup for a rebound
126	Casey Mize	DET	@BAL
127	Aaron Civale	MIL	STL		10%
128	Brady Singer	CIN	@DET
129	Emerson Hancock	SEA	@ARI		0%	26%
130	Quinn Priester	MIL	ATL, STL		2%	21%
131	Ryan Yarbrough	NYY	@BOS		0%	0%
132	Ryan Gusto	HOU	CWS		7%
133	Will Warren	NYY	@KC
134	Michael Lorenzen	KC	ATH
135	Brandon Walter	HOU	MIN		0%	0%
136	Kyle Hendricks	LAA	ATH		0%	0%
137	Dean Kremer	BAL	DET		8%
138	Jack Kochanowicz	LAA	@BAL		0%	4%
139	Bryce Elder	ATL	COL		3%
140	Hunter Dobbins	BOS	NYY		0%	0%
141	Mick Abel	PHI	CHC		0%	0%
142	JP Sears	ATH	@LAA		35%
143	Ryan Bergert	SD	@ARI		0%	0%
144	Mike Burrows	PIT	MIA, @CHC		0%	0%
145	Kyle Freeland	COL	SF		0%	4%
146	Chase Dollander	COL	@ATL		4%	18%
147	German Marquez	COL	@ATL		2%	2%
148	Andrew Heaney	PIT	@CHC
149	Carson Palmquist	COL	SF		0%	0%
150	Logan Allen	CLE	CIN		3%	30%
151	Wade Miley	CIN	@CLE, @DET		0%	0%
152	Justin Verlander	SF	@LAD		27%
153	Owen White	CWS	@TEX		0%	0%
154	Randy Vasquez	SD	LAD		6%	42%
155	Antonio Senzatela	COL	SF		0%	0%
156	Bradley Blalock	COL	@ATL		0%	0%

American League

Rank	Pitcher	TM	OPP	Comment
1	Tarik Skubal	DET	@BAL
2	Framber Valdez	HOU	CWS
3	Jack Flaherty	DET	CIN
4	Max Fried	NYY	@KC
5	Shane Smith	CWS	@HOU, @TEX	Walks high, but facing manageable lineups
6	Jacob deGrom	TEX	@MIN	Strikeouts and velo down, worth monitoring
7	Clarke Schmidt	NYY	@KC, @BOS
8	Joe Ryan	MIN	@HOU
9	Tanner Bibee	CLE	@SEA
10	Drew Rasmussen	TB	@NYM
11	Kris Bubic	KC	NYY, ATH	Showing no signs of slowing down
12	Jeffrey Springs	ATH	@LAA, @KC
13	Gavin Williams	CLE	@SEA
14	Bryan Woo	SEA	@ARI
15	Nathan Eovaldi	TEX	CWS
16	Jose Berrios	TOR	@STL, @PHI
17	Shane Baz	TB	@BOS, @NYM
18	Logan Gilbert	SEA	CLE
19	Bailey Ober	MIN	TEX
20	Ryan Pepiot	TB	@BOS
21	Tyler Mahle	TEX	CWS	Regression underway, but still due more
22	Kevin Gausman	TOR	@PHI
23	Taj Bradley	TB	@NYM
24	Zebby Matthews	MIN	TEX, @HOU
25	Luis L. Ortiz	CLE	CIN, @SEA
26	Hunter Brown	HOU	MIN
27	Luis Castillo	SEA	CLE
28	Michael Wacha	KC	ATH
29	Bryce Miller	SEA	@ARI
30	Yusei Kikuchi	LAA	ATH, @BAL
31	Sean Burke	CWS	@HOU
32	Luis Severino	ATH	@KC
33	Tyler Anderson	LAA	@BAL
34	Zach Eflin	BAL	DET
35	Tomoyuki Sugano	BAL	LAA
36	David Festa	MIN	TEX
37	Lance McCullers	HOU	CWS
38	Slade Cecconi	CLE	CIN
39	Garrett Crochet	BOS	NYY
40	Colton Gordon	HOU	MIN
41	Sawyer Gipson-Long	DET	@BAL, CIN
42	Chris Paddack	MIN	@HOU
43	Keider Montero	DET	CIN
44	Jack Leiter	TEX	@MIN, CWS
45	Jose Soriano	LAA	ATH
46	George Kirby	SEA	CLE
47	Adrian Houser	CWS	@TEX
48	Carlos Rodon	NYY	@BOS
49	Zack Littell	TB	@BOS
50	Cole Ragans	KC	NYY
51	Davis Martin	CWS	@HOU
52	Seth Lugo	KC	NYY
53	Chris Bassitt	TOR	@STL
54	Charlie Morton	BAL	LAA
55	Jacob Lopez	ATH	@KC
56	Cade Povich	BAL	DET, LAA
57	Eric Lauer	TOR	@STL
58	Mitch Spence	ATH	@LAA
59	Bowden Francis	TOR	@PHI
60	Patrick Corbin	TEX	@MIN
61	Lucas Giolito	BOS	TB
62	Walker Buehler	BOS	TB
63	Brayan Bello	BOS	TB, NYY
64	AL Reliever
65	Casey Mize	DET	@BAL
66	Emerson Hancock	SEA	@ARI
67	Ryan Yarbrough	NYY	@BOS
68	Ryan Gusto	HOU	CWS
69	Will Warren	NYY	@KC
70	Michael Lorenzen	KC	ATH
71	Brandon Walter	HOU	MIN
72	Kyle Hendricks	LAA	ATH
73	Dean Kremer	BAL	DET
74	Jack Kochanowicz	LAA	@BAL
75	Hunter Dobbins	BOS	NYY
76	JP Sears	ATH	@LAA
77	Logan Allen	CLE	CIN
78	Owen White	CWS	@TEX

National League

Rank	Pitcher	TM	OPP	Comment
1	Chris Sale	ATL	@MIL, COL	Back in the Cy Young discussion
2	MacKenzie Gore	WAS	@NYM, MIA	Worthy of ace status
3	Robbie Ray	SF	@COL, @LAD	25 K, only 4 BB over last 20 IP
4	Merrill Kelly	ARI	SEA, SD
5	Nick Pivetta	SD	LAD, @ARI
6	Matthew Boyd	CHC	@PHI, PIT
7	Paul Skenes	PIT	@CHC
8	Spencer Schwellenbach	ATL	@MIL
9	Logan Webb	SF	@COL
10	Sonny Gray	STL	@MIL
11	Kodai Senga	NYM	WAS
12	Zack Wheeler	PHI	CHC
13	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	LAD	SF
14	Jameson Taillon	CHC	PIT
15	Ranger Suarez	PHI	TOR
16	Cristopher Sanchez	PHI	TOR
17	Sandy Alcantara	MIA	@PIT	Still skeptical of a turnaround but has a soft matchup
18	Dustin May	LAD	@SD, SF
19	Spencer Strider	ATL	COL
20	Cade Horton	CHC	PIT
21	Ben Brown	CHC	@PHI	Beginning to use his changeup more
22	David Peterson	NYM	WAS
23	Edward Cabrera	MIA	@WAS
24	Grant Holmes	ATL	@MIL
25	Nick Lodolo	CIN	@CLE
26	Clay Holmes	NYM	TB
27	Hayden Birdsong	SF	@COL
28	Eury Perez	MIA	@PIT, @WAS
29	Aaron Nola	PHI	TOR
30	Griffin Canning	NYM	WAS, TB
31	Zac Gallen	ARI	SD
32	Freddy Peralta	MIL	ATL, STL
33	Dylan Cease	SD	LAD
34	Tylor Megill	NYM	TB
35	Andre Pallante	STL	TOR, @MIL
36	Mitch Keller	PIT	MIA, @CHC
37	Brandon Pfaadt	ARI	SEA	Grumble, grumble
38	Miles Mikolas	STL	TOR, @MIL
39	Clayton Kershaw	LAD	SF
40	Jose Quintana	MIL	STL
41	Erick Fedde	STL	@MIL
42	Eduardo Rodriguez	ARI	SEA
43	Bailey Falter	PIT	MIA
44	Ryan Weathers	MIA	@WAS
45	Jake Irvin	WAS	@NYM
46	Cal Quantrill	MIA	@PIT
47	Andrew Abbott	CIN	@CLE
48	Ben Casparius	LAD	@SD
49	Matthew Liberatore	STL	TOR
50	Michael Soroka	WAS	@NYM
51	Ryne Nelson	ARI	SD
52	Colin Rea	CHC	@PHI, PIT
53	Stephen Kolek	SD	@ARI
54	Landen Roupp	SF	@LAD
55	Nick Martinez	CIN	@DET
56	Justin Wrobleski	LAD	@SD
57	Chad Patrick	MIL	ATL
58	Trevor Williams	WAS	MIA
59	Mitchell Parker	WAS	MIA
60	Jesus Luzardo	PHI	CHC	Facing the top offense in the league, not the best matchup for a rebound
61	NL Reliever
62	Aaron Civale	MIL	STL
63	Brady Singer	CIN	@DET
64	Quinn Priester	MIL	ATL, STL
65	Bryce Elder	ATL	COL
66	Mick Abel	PHI	CHC
67	Ryan Bergert	SD	@ARI
68	Mike Burrows	PIT	MIA, @CHC
69	Kyle Freeland	COL	SF
70	Chase Dollander	COL	@ATL
71	German Marquez	COL	@ATL
72	Andrew Heaney	PIT	@CHC
73	Carson Palmquist	COL	SF
74	Wade Miley	CIN	@CLE, @DET
75	Justin Verlander	SF	@LAD
76	Randy Vasquez	SD	LAD
77	Antonio Senzatela	COL	SF
78	Bradley Blalock	COL	@ATL