Weekly Pitcher Rankings: What Have You Done Lately?

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Updated on May 2, 2022 1:01AM EST

How to incorporate streaks into analysis is up for debate. Those in daily leagues and DFS players deal with it on a daily basis. While I trust the research suggesting hot and cold streaks are largely non-predictive, there is some solid work (most notably from BaseballHQ) demonstrating there is something real about a pitcher with a string of solid efforts. With starters having three or four starts on the docket, there is enough sample to be actionable. As such, this week's rankings reflect recent outings. The Sunday night update uses the most recent data, so the rankings for this week's Saturday and Sunday starters could move a little.

I'm always happy to address (and sometimes change) rankings. However, please direct scheduling rotation questions to the Probable Pitchers page.

UPDATED: Monday May 2 1:00 AM ET

Week of May 2 - 8

Mixed

Rank	Pitcher	TM	OPP	Comments
1	Alek Manoah	TOR	NYY, @CLE	Easily Top-10 starter if drafting now
2	Brandon Woodruff	MIL	CIN, @ATL
3	Pablo Lopez	MIA	ARI, @SD	2.57 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 24 starts since beginning of last season
4	Max Fried	ATL	@NYM, MIL
5	Gerrit Cole	NYY	TEX
6	Joe Musgrove	SD	MIA
7	Logan Gilbert	SEA	TB
8	Joe Ryan	MIN	@BAL, OAK	Will deception continue to be effective as teams see him more?
9	Kevin Gausman	TOR	@CLE
10	Drew Rasmussen	TB	@OAK, @SEA	On the road, but good pitcher's park and manageable lineups

I'm always happy to address (and sometimes change) rankings. However, please direct scheduling rotation questions to the Probable Pitchers page.

UPDATED: Monday May 2 1:00 AM ET

Week of May 2 - 8

Mixed

Rank	Pitcher	TM	OPP	Comments
1	Alek Manoah	TOR	NYY, @CLE	Easily Top-10 starter if drafting now
2	Brandon Woodruff	MIL	CIN, @ATL
3	Pablo Lopez	MIA	ARI, @SD	2.57 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 24 starts since beginning of last season
4	Max Fried	ATL	@NYM, MIL
5	Gerrit Cole	NYY	TEX
6	Joe Musgrove	SD	MIA
7	Logan Gilbert	SEA	TB
8	Joe Ryan	MIN	@BAL, OAK	Will deception continue to be effective as teams see him more?
9	Kevin Gausman	TOR	@CLE
10	Drew Rasmussen	TB	@OAK, @SEA	On the road, but good pitcher's park and manageable lineups
11	Dylan Cease	CWS	LAA, @BOS	Lower BB% and we're talking elite
12	Robbie Ray	SEA	TB
13	Zac Gallen	ARI	@MIA, COL
14	Miles Mikolas	STL	@SF
15	Tylor Megill	NYM	ATL
16	Shane McClanahan	TB	@SEA
17	Kyle Wright	ATL	@NYM	34 K in 24 IP
18	Max Scherzer	NYM	@PHI
19	Walker Buehler	LAD	@CHC
20	Aaron Nola	PHI	NYM
21	Nestor Cortes Jr.	NYY	@TOR	Nice test - 28 K, 3 BB in first 20 IP
22	Logan Webb	SF	STL
23	Carlos Rodon	SF	@LAD, STL
24	Yu Darvish	SD	MIA	Back on track? 20 K, 4 BB over last 18.2 IP
25	Frankie Montas	OAK	TB
26	Corbin Burnes	MIL	@ATL
27	Clayton Kershaw	LAD	@CHC
28	Julio Urias	LAD	SF
29	Shane Bieber	CLE	TOR
30	Sean Manaea	SD	MIA	Nice spot to rebound after LAD hit him hard
31	Jordan Montgomery	NYY	@TOR, TEX	at TOR never easy, but underrated arm deserves high rank regardless
32	Tony Gonsolin	LAD	SF
33	Chris Bassitt	NYM	ATL, @PHI	Quietly dominant 26 K in 24 IP
34	Sandy Alcantara	MIA	@SD
35	Adrian Houser	MIL	CIN
36	Luis Severino	NYY	TEX
37	Madison Bumgarner	ARI	@MIA
38	Trevor Rogers	MIA	ARI, @SD	Control off early
39	Corey Kluber	TB	@OAK
40	Dakota Hudson	STL	@KC, @SF
41	Zack Wheeler	PHI	TEX
42	Lucas Giolito	CWS	@CHC
43	Jose Berrios	TOR	@CLE
44	Patrick Sandoval	LAA	@CWS, WAS	Huge test for fledgling ace
45	Michael Wacha	BOS	LAA, CWS	Increasing reliance on improved changeup
46	Cristian Javier	HOU	SEA
47	Sonny Gray	MIN	OAK
48	Ian Anderson	ATL	@NYM
49	Brad Keller	KC	STL
50	Justin Verlander	HOU	SEA
51	Chris Paddack	MIN	@BAL, OAK
52	Michael Kopech	CWS	@CHC
53	David Peterson	NYM	ATL
54	Nathan Eovaldi	BOS	CWS
55	Michael Pineda	DET	PIT, @HOU
56	Bruce Zimmermann	BAL	MIN, KC	Changing grips/repertoire, with encouraging results
57	Alex Cobb	SF	STL
58	Shohei Ohtani	LAA	@BOS
59	Charlie Morton	ATL	@NYM, MIL	Early command and control woes
60	Framber Valdez	HOU	DET
61	Carlos Carrasco	NYM	ATL, @PHI	23 K with 4 BB in 22 IP
62	Ranger Suarez	PHI	TEX, NYM	ERA artificially low, but peripherals should improve
63	Garrett Whitlock	BOS	LAA
64	Freddy Peralta	MIL	CIN
65	Paul Blackburn	OAK	TB
66	Michael Lorenzen	LAA	WAS	Lucky so far, but still transition to SP encouraging
67	Cal Quantrill	CLE	SD
68	Steven Matz	STL	KC, @SF
69	MacKenzie Gore	SD	@CLE
70	Merrill Kelly	ARI	COL
71	Jose Urquidy	HOU	DET
72	Sam Long	SF	STL
73	Luis Garcia	HOU	DET
74	Chad Kuhl	COL	@ARI
75	Tarik Skubal	DET	PIT
76	Beau Brieske	DET	@HOU
77	Elieser Hernandez	MIA	ARI
78	Eric Lauer	MIL	@ATL
79	Marco Gonzales	SEA	@HOU, TB
80	Chris Flexen	SEA	@HOU, TB
81	Mix 12 Reliever
82	Eduardo Rodriguez	DET	@HOU
83	Kyle Gibson	PHI	NYM
84	Dylan Bundy	MIN	@BAL
85	Jordan Hicks	STL	@SF
86	Zack Greinke	KC	@STL, @BAL
87	Connor Overton	CIN	PIT
88	Rich Hill	BOS	LAA
89	Tyler Wells	BAL	MIN, KC
90	Huascar Ynoa	ATL	MIL
91	Triston McKenzie	CLE	TOR
92	Jesus Luzardo	MIA	@SD
93	Adam Wainwright	STL	@KC
94	Noah Syndergaard	LAA	@BOS
95	Mix 15 Reliever
96	Ryan Yarbrough	TB	@OAK, @SEA
97	Nick Lodolo	CIN	PIT
98	Jake Odorizzi	HOU	SEA, DET
99	Zach Eflin	PHI	NYM
100	Nick Martinez	SD	MIA
101	JT Brubaker	PIT	@CIN
102	Zach Plesac	CLE	SD, TOR
103	Kyle Hendricks	CHC	CWS
104	German Marquez	COL	WAS, @ARI	Average fly ball distance in Coors WAY down
105	Nick Pivetta	BOS	CWS
106	Daniel Lynch	KC	@BAL
107	Tyler Mahle	CIN	@MIL
108	Alex Wood	SF	@LAD
109	Jaime Barria	LAA	WAS
110	Mike Clevinger	SD	@CLE	Decent matchups, but may not work long enough for a win
111	Jameson Taillon	NYY	@TOR
112	Yusei Kikuchi	TOR	NYY
113	Glenn Otto	TEX	@PHI, @NYY
114	Josiah Gray	WAS	@LAA
115	Kris Bubic	KC	STL
116	Daulton Jefferies	OAK	TB, @MIN
117	Kyle Freeland	COL	@ARI
118	Drew Smyly	CHC	CWS, LAD
119	Ross Stripling	TOR	NYY, @CLE
120	Josh Fleming	TB	@SEA
121	Humberto Castellanos	ARI	@MIA
122	Marcus Stroman	CHC	LAD
123	Hunter Greene	CIN	@MIL
124	Jose Quintana	PIT	@DET
125	Cole Irvin	OAK	@MIN
126	Kyle Bradish	BAL	MIN
127	Vince Velasquez	CWS	@BOS
128	Martin Perez	TEX	@PHI
129	Tyler Anderson	LAD	@CHC
130	Taijuan Walker	NYM	@PHI
131	Matt Brash	SEA	@HOU
132	Chris Archer	MIN	@BAL
133	Jordan Lyles	BAL	KC
134	Vladimir Gutierrez	CIN	@MIL, PIT
135	Dane Dunning	TEX	@NYY
136	Bryse Wilson	PIT	@DET, @CIN
137	Reiver Sanmartin	CIN	PIT
138	Reid Detmers	LAA	@BOS
139	Mitch Keller	PIT	@CIN
140	Aaron Civale	CLE	TOR
141	James Kaprielian	OAK	@MIN
142	Zach Davies	ARI	COL
143	Antonio Senzatela	COL	WAS
144	Carlos Hernandez	KC	@BAL
145	Tyler Alexander	DET	@HOU
146	Joan Adon	WAS	@LAA
147	Austin Gomber	COL	WAS
148	Spenser Watkins	BAL	MIN
149	Erick Fedde	WAS	@COL, @LAA
150	Zach Thompson	PIT	@CIN
151	Justin Steele	CHC	LAD
152	Taylor Hearn	TEX	@NYY
153	Patrick Corbin	WAS	@COL
154	Aaron Sanchez	WAS	@COL
155	Dallas Keuchel	CWS	@BOS

American League

Rank	Pitcher	TM	OPP	Comment
1	Alek Manoah	TOR	NYY, @CLE	Easily Top-10 starter if drafting now
2	Gerrit Cole	NYY	TEX
3	Logan Gilbert	SEA	TB
4	Joe Ryan	MIN	@BAL, OAK	Will deception continue to be effective as teams see him more?
5	Kevin Gausman	TOR	@CLE
6	Drew Rasmussen	TB	@OAK, @SEA	On the road, but good pitcher's park and manageable lineups
7	Dylan Cease	CWS	LAA, @BOS	Lower BB% and we're talking elite
8	Robbie Ray	SEA	TB
9	Shane McClanahan	TB	@SEA
10	Nestor Cortes Jr.	NYY	@TOR	Nice test - 28 K, 3 BB in first 20 IP
11	Frankie Montas	OAK	TB
12	Shane Bieber	CLE	TOR
13	Jordan Montgomery	NYY	@TOR, TEX	at TOR never easy, but underrated arm deserves high rank regardless
14	Luis Severino	NYY	TEX
15	Corey Kluber	TB	@OAK
16	Lucas Giolito	CWS	@CHC
17	Jose Berrios	TOR	@CLE
18	Patrick Sandoval	LAA	@CWS, WAS	Huge test for fledgling ace
19	Michael Wacha	BOS	LAA, CWS	Increasing reliance on improved changeup
20	Cristian Javier	HOU	SEA
21	Sonny Gray	MIN	OAK
22	Brad Keller	KC	STL
23	Justin Verlander	HOU	SEA
24	Chris Paddack	MIN	@BAL, OAK
25	Michael Kopech	CWS	@CHC
26	Nathan Eovaldi	BOS	CWS
27	Michael Pineda	DET	PIT, @HOU
28	Bruce Zimmermann	BAL	MIN, KC	Changing grips/repertoire, with encouraging results
29	Shohei Ohtani	LAA	@BOS
30	Framber Valdez	HOU	DET
31	Garrett Whitlock	BOS	LAA
32	Paul Blackburn	OAK	TB
33	Michael Lorenzen	LAA	WAS	Lucky so far, but still transition to SP encouraging
34	Cal Quantrill	CLE	SD
35	Jose Urquidy	HOU	DET
36	Luis Garcia	HOU	DET
37	Tarik Skubal	DET	PIT
38	Beau Brieske	DET	@HOU
39	Marco Gonzales	SEA	@HOU, TB
40	Chris Flexen	SEA	@HOU, TB
41	Eduardo Rodriguez	DET	@HOU
42	Dylan Bundy	MIN	@BAL
43	Zack Greinke	KC	@STL, @BAL
44	Rich Hill	BOS	LAA
45	Tyler Wells	BAL	MIN, KC
46	Triston McKenzie	CLE	TOR
47	Noah Syndergaard	LAA	@BOS
48	Ryan Yarbrough	TB	@OAK, @SEA
49	Jake Odorizzi	HOU	SEA, DET
50	Zach Plesac	CLE	SD, TOR
51	AL Reliever
52	Nick Pivetta	BOS	CWS
53	Daniel Lynch	KC	@BAL
54	Jaime Barria	LAA	WAS
55	Jameson Taillon	NYY	@TOR
56	Yusei Kikuchi	TOR	NYY
57	Glenn Otto	TEX	@PHI, @NYY
58	Kris Bubic	KC	STL
59	Daulton Jefferies	OAK	TB, @MIN
60	Ross Stripling	TOR	NYY, @CLE
61	Josh Fleming	TB	@SEA
62	Cole Irvin	OAK	@MIN
63	Kyle Bradish	BAL	MIN
64	Vince Velasquez	CWS	@BOS
65	Martin Perez	TEX	@PHI
66	Matt Brash	SEA	@HOU
67	Chris Archer	MIN	@BAL
68	Jordan Lyles	BAL	KC
69	Dane Dunning	TEX	@NYY
70	Reid Detmers	LAA	@BOS
71	Aaron Civale	CLE	TOR
72	James Kaprielian	OAK	@MIN
73	Carlos Hernandez	KC	@BAL
74	Tyler Alexander	DET	@HOU
75	Spenser Watkins	BAL	MIN
76	Taylor Hearn	TEX	@NYY
77	Dallas Keuchel	CWS	@BOS

National League

Rank	Pitcher	TM	OPP	Comment
1	Brandon Woodruff	MIL	CIN, @ATL
2	Pablo Lopez	MIA	ARI, @SD	2.57 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 24 starts since beginning of last season
3	Max Fried	ATL	@NYM, MIL
4	Joe Musgrove	SD	MIA
5	Zac Gallen	ARI	@MIA, COL
6	Miles Mikolas	STL	@SF
7	Tylor Megill	NYM	ATL
8	Kyle Wright	ATL	@NYM	34 K in 24 IP
9	Max Scherzer	NYM	@PHI
10	Walker Buehler	LAD	@CHC
11	Aaron Nola	PHI	NYM
12	Logan Webb	SF	STL
13	Carlos Rodon	SF	@LAD, STL
14	Yu Darvish	SD	MIA	Back on track? 20 K, 4 BB over last 18.2 IP
15	Corbin Burnes	MIL	@ATL
16	Clayton Kershaw	LAD	@CHC
17	Julio Urias	LAD	SF
18	Sean Manaea	SD	MIA	Nice spot to rebound after LAD hit him hard
19	Tony Gonsolin	LAD	SF
20	Chris Bassitt	NYM	ATL, @PHI	Quietly dominant 26 K in 24 IP
21	Sandy Alcantara	MIA	@SD
22	Adrian Houser	MIL	CIN
23	Madison Bumgarner	ARI	@MIA
24	Trevor Rogers	MIA	ARI, @SD	Control off early
25	Dakota Hudson	STL	@KC, @SF
26	Zack Wheeler	PHI	TEX
27	Ian Anderson	ATL	@NYM
28	David Peterson	NYM	ATL
29	Alex Cobb	SF	STL
30	Charlie Morton	ATL	@NYM, MIL	Early command and control woes
31	Carlos Carrasco	NYM	ATL, @PHI	23 K with 4 BB in 22 IP
32	Ranger Suarez	PHI	TEX, NYM	ERA artificially low, but peripherals should improve
33	Freddy Peralta	MIL	CIN
34	Steven Matz	STL	KC, @SF
35	MacKenzie Gore	SD	@CLE
36	Merrill Kelly	ARI	COL
37	Sammy Long	SF	STL
38	Chad Kuhl	COL	@ARI
39	Elieser Hernandez	MIA	ARI
40	Eric Lauer	MIL	@ATL
41	Kyle Gibson	PHI	NYM
42	Jordan Hicks	STL	@SF
43	Connor Overton	CIN	PIT
44	Huascar Ynoa	ATL	MIL
45	Jesus Luzardo	MIA	@SD
46	Adam Wainwright	STL	@KC
47	Nick Lodolo	CIN	PIT
48	Zach Eflin	PHI	NYM
49	Nick Martinez	SD	MIA
50	JT Brubaker	PIT	@CIN
51	Kyle Hendricks	CHC	CWS
52	NL Reliever
53	German Marquez	COL	WAS, @ARI	Average fly ball distance in Coors WAY down
54	Tyler Mahle	CIN	@MIL
55	Alex Wood	SF	@LAD
56	Mike Clevinger	SD	@CLE	Decent matchups, but may not work long enough for a win
57	Josiah Gray	WAS	@LAA
58	Kyle Freeland	COL	@ARI
59	Drew Smyly	CHC	CWS, LAD
60	Humberto Castellanos	ARI	@MIA
61	Marcus Stroman	CHC	LAD
62	Hunter Greene	CIN	@MIL
63	Jose Quintana	PIT	@DET
64	Tyler Anderson	LAD	@CHC
65	Taijuan Walker	NYM	@PHI
66	Vladimir Gutierrez	CIN	@MIL, PIT
67	Bryse Wilson	PIT	@DET, @CIN
68	Reiver Sanmartin	CIN	PIT
69	Mitch Keller	PIT	@CIN
70	Zach Davies	ARI	COL
71	Antonio Senzatela	COL	WAS
72	Joan Adon	WAS	@LAA
73	Austin Gomber	COL	WAS
74	Erick Fedde	WAS	@COL, @LAA
75	Zach Thompson	PIT	@CIN
76	Justin Steele	CHC	LAD
77	Patrick Corbin	WAS	@COL
78	Aaron Sanchez	WAS	@COL